CAJ | 학술논문

利用2005-2011年5月保存的部分日本数值预报传真图资料，分析JFSAS图中静止锋的活动规律、及与之对应的12h前后08时天气图中大雨、暴雨、大暴雨区域存在的关系，辅助分析对应时段的预报降水图，得出以下主要结论：①静止锋对强降水预报有较好的指示意义；②静止锋锋区、暖区、冷区、延长线上均有强降水发生，且强降水对应静止锋的位置不是唯一的；③利用静止锋预报，既能判别降水预报图中强降水落区的可用性，又能对降水强度进行一定程度的修正；④当长时间持续预报静止锋活动时，往往与黄淮、江淮、江南、华南等地持续性暴雨过程相关联。
이용2005-2011년5월보존적부분일본수치예보전진도자료，분석JFSAS도중정지봉적활동규률、급여지대응적12h전후08시천기도중대우、폭우、대폭우구역존재적관계，보조분석대응시단적예보강수도，득출이하주요결론：①정지봉대강강수예보유교호적지시의의；②정지봉봉구、난구、랭구、연장선상균유강강수발생，차강강수대응정지봉적위치불시유일적；③이용정지봉예보，기능판별강수예보도중강강수락구적가용성，우능대강수강도진행일정정도적수정；④당장시간지속예보정지봉활동시，왕왕여황회、강회、강남、화남등지지속성폭우과정상관련。
Basing the Japanese numerical weather prediction fax maps on May from 2005-2011, the activity law of stationary front on the JFSAS maps and its relationship with precipitations of next 12 hours were analyzed. The results show：（1） Stationary front has a good forecast sense to heavy rainfall. （2）The heavy rainfall can likely occur in frontal zone, warm zone, cold zone, the extension line of stationary front. （3）Considering stationary front can not only identify the availability of forecast map precipitation area, but also correct precipitation intensity in a certain degree. （4）The prolonged stationary front activity showed in the map often associates with persistent heavy rain in Huang-Huai, Jianghuai , South of the Yangtze River, Southern China and other places.