海洋通报（英文版）
海洋通報（英文版）
해양통보（영문판）
MARINE SCIENCE BULLETIN
2006年
2期
21-30
,共10页
风险评估%海洋结构物%模糊影响图%失效模式和效果分析
風險評估%海洋結構物%模糊影響圖%失效模式和效果分析
풍험평고%해양결구물%모호영향도%실효모식화효과분석
Risk assessment%maritime configuration%fuzzy probabilistic influence diagram%failure mode and effect analysis
基于模糊影响图(FPID)和失效模式与效果分析(FMEA)建立了一种海洋结构风险分析方法.鉴于风险分析中某些事件发生概率和关系概率两个重要参数确定时需借助专家主观判断,本文将模糊概率的概念引入海洋结构影响图评估方法中.该方法成功地应用到海洋平台人员伤害分析中.虽然这里仅给出了该方法在海洋平台风险评估中的应用,但其具有更广泛应用价值.
基于模糊影響圖(FPID)和失效模式與效果分析(FMEA)建立瞭一種海洋結構風險分析方法.鑒于風險分析中某些事件髮生概率和關繫概率兩箇重要參數確定時需藉助專傢主觀判斷,本文將模糊概率的概唸引入海洋結構影響圖評估方法中.該方法成功地應用到海洋平檯人員傷害分析中.雖然這裏僅給齣瞭該方法在海洋平檯風險評估中的應用,但其具有更廣汎應用價值.
기우모호영향도(FPID)화실효모식여효과분석(FMEA)건립료일충해양결구풍험분석방법.감우풍험분석중모사사건발생개솔화관계개솔량개중요삼수학정시수차조전가주관판단,본문장모호개솔적개념인입해양결구영향도평고방법중.해방법성공지응용도해양평태인원상해분석중.수연저리부급출료해방법재해양평태풍험평고중적응용,단기구유경엄범응용개치.
A risk assessment method for marine configuration based on Fuzzy Probability Influence Diagram (FPID) and Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is established in this paper. Considering the fuzzy characteristic of the two key inputs such as event happening probability and relation probability, the method induces fuzzy probability into the PID risk assessment for marine configuration, where defuzzification is performed using the centroid method to determine the risk at a given grade of a probabilistic item. FMEA as a traditional qualitative analysis method is used to determine the effect factor structure. An application of the presented method for the offshore jacket platform is implemented. The method can be widely applicable although only offshore platform is analyzed here.
