CAJ | 학술논문

针对智能电网在不同时期的发展目标和需求,提出了一种基于系统动力学模型的智能电网动态评价方法。该方法以智能电网的投资为出发点,建立通过投资实现的智能技术对智能电网建设效果动态影响的系统动力学模型。模型定量地分析了二者之间的因果反馈关系,并给出了智能电网评价指标随时间演变的趋势。通过仿真分析验证了动态评价方法的合理性和有效性。
침대지능전망재불동시기적발전목표화수구,제출료일충기우계통동역학모형적지능전망동태평개방법。해방법이지능전망적투자위출발점,건립통과투자실현적지능기술대지능전망건설효과동태영향적계통동역학모형。모형정량지분석료이자지간적인과반궤관계,병급출료지능전망평개지표수시간연변적추세。통과방진분석험증료동태평개방법적합이성화유효성。
In view of the different goals and demands for the smart grid in different periods of time,its dynamic assessment method based on system dynamics is proposed that takes the smart grid investment as the starting point in developing a system dynamics model,which reflects the dynamic relationship between smart grid construction results and intelligent techniques realized through investment.In addition,the model quantitatively analyzes the causal feedback relation between the two and gives the smart grid effect indices in the evolution of the trend over time.The evaluation model is proved effective and rational by simulation results.