CAJ | 학술논문

　　介绍了复杂配电网系统健康诊断和评估的概念，在将复杂配电网运行健康状况与人的健康状态相类比的基础上，利用健康指标体系描述复杂配电网的性能。从主、次作用因子，内、外影响因素等方面对指标进行筛选，建立了一套衡量复杂配电网健康状况的定量参考系，利用层次分析法和模糊理论对该指标体系进行诊断分析，找出系统自身差距和变化态势，对已造成或可能发生的病症异常给出响应动作建议。通过某地10 kV配电网的实例分析，从小时间尺度上系统的健康评估和大时间尺度上的健康趋势预测两方面对该诊断方法的有效性进行了验证。
　　개소료복잡배전망계통건강진단화평고적개념，재장복잡배전망운행건강상황여인적건강상태상류비적기출상，이용건강지표체계묘술복잡배전망적성능。종주、차작용인자，내、외영향인소등방면대지표진행사선，건립료일투형량복잡배전망건강상황적정량삼고계，이용층차분석법화모호이론대해지표체계진행진단분석，조출계통자신차거화변화태세，대이조성혹가능발생적병증이상급출향응동작건의。통과모지10 kV배전망적실례분석，종소시간척도상계통적건강평고화대시간척도상적건강추세예측량방면대해진단방법적유효성진행료험증。
The concept of Complex Distribution Grid (CDG) health diagnosis and evaluation is introduced. Health index system is used to describe performance of CDG based on the analogy between CDG health status and human health state. The index is screened by considering primary-secondary effect as well as internal and external influence factors. A quantitative reference frame is established to measure its health state. Its gap and changing trend are found by diagnostic analysis of the indicator system through the Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Theory, and the suggestions on the anomalies are given out. The effectiveness of the diagnostic method is verified by analyzing certain real 10 kV distribution network including health assessment of the system in small time scales and health trend prediction in large time scales.