气象科技进展
氣象科技進展
기상과기진전
Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology
2013年
3期
52-58
,共7页
张锦泉%杨先荣%邓吉录%闫旭东%杨振鑫%马丽婷
張錦泉%楊先榮%鄧吉錄%閆旭東%楊振鑫%馬麗婷
장금천%양선영%산길록%염욱동%양진흠%마려정
突发性强降水%触发机制
突髮性彊降水%觸髮機製
돌발성강강수%촉발궤제
sudden heavy rain or rainstorm%triggering mechanism
基于1990-2011年主汛期(6-8月)青藏高原东北侧临夏地区局地出现的132例25.0~140.0mm突发性强降水过程,从暖湿气流输送、热力、动力场结构、天气系统、强对流云发展形势、近地面至高空的流场特征、地形及相关物理量场分布形势等角度出发,揭示了青藏高原东北侧边坡局地突发性强降水的成因。综合强降水发生前后各时次的高空、地面资料,追综研究其影响系统、触发机制、成因等,通过对其进一步细致分析,加深对高原边坡地带突发性强降水过程触发机制的认识,寻找相关预报因子,以期提高对此类突发性强天气过程的认识,配合数值预报形势场及相关物理量场,启发新的预报着眼点。
基于1990-2011年主汛期(6-8月)青藏高原東北側臨夏地區跼地齣現的132例25.0~140.0mm突髮性彊降水過程,從暖濕氣流輸送、熱力、動力場結構、天氣繫統、彊對流雲髮展形勢、近地麵至高空的流場特徵、地形及相關物理量場分佈形勢等角度齣髮,揭示瞭青藏高原東北側邊坡跼地突髮性彊降水的成因。綜閤彊降水髮生前後各時次的高空、地麵資料,追綜研究其影響繫統、觸髮機製、成因等,通過對其進一步細緻分析,加深對高原邊坡地帶突髮性彊降水過程觸髮機製的認識,尋找相關預報因子,以期提高對此類突髮性彊天氣過程的認識,配閤數值預報形勢場及相關物理量場,啟髮新的預報著眼點。
기우1990-2011년주신기(6-8월)청장고원동북측림하지구국지출현적132례25.0~140.0mm돌발성강강수과정,종난습기류수송、열력、동력장결구、천기계통、강대류운발전형세、근지면지고공적류장특정、지형급상관물리량장분포형세등각도출발,게시료청장고원동북측변파국지돌발성강강수적성인。종합강강수발생전후각시차적고공、지면자료,추종연구기영향계통、촉발궤제、성인등,통과대기진일보세치분석,가심대고원변파지대돌발성강강수과정촉발궤제적인식,심조상관예보인자,이기제고대차류돌발성강천기과정적인식,배합수치예보형세장급상관물리량장,계발신적예보착안점。
The text revealed the sudden rain of down-scaling northeast area Qinghai-Tibet Plateau based on 132 rain and rainstorm samples which occurred from June to August between 1990 and 2011 in the area by analyzing warm air transport, thermal field, dynamic field structure, weather system, strong convective cloud development situation, flow characteristics from surface to high level, terrain and physical distribution situation. We investigated the onset of sudden heavy rains with the number of occurrences and the data collected both at high altitudes and on the surface ground before and after the precipitation. Through a further careful analysis of the track system, the trigger mechanism and their causes of formation, we had a better understanding of such abrupt weather processes, thus initiating a new prediction method so as to improve the accuracy of our future forecast.