气象科技进展
氣象科技進展
기상과기진전
Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology
2013年
3期
46-51
,共6页
热带气旋%群发%MJO
熱帶氣鏇%群髮%MJO
열대기선%군발%MJO
tropical cyclone%clustering%MJO
利用客观MJO指数及定义西北太平洋热带气旋(TC)群发标准,初步研究了西北太平洋TC群发特征及其与MJO的相互作用,结果表明:(1)30°N以南的西北太平洋海域平均每年发生3.6次TC群发过程,在1978-2009年间TC群发呈现出减少的变化趋势,但群发强度无明显变化;(2)当MJO强对流位于印尼群岛东部(即位相5)和西太平洋东部(即位相7)时西北太平洋TC最易群发;而当MJO对流主要位于非洲(即位相1)和印度洋西部时(即位相2)时,TC群发受到抑制;(3)TC群发活动后MJO的传播发生变化,这种变化与TC群发活动本身及其引起的海气相互作用通量的改变有关。
利用客觀MJO指數及定義西北太平洋熱帶氣鏇(TC)群髮標準,初步研究瞭西北太平洋TC群髮特徵及其與MJO的相互作用,結果錶明:(1)30°N以南的西北太平洋海域平均每年髮生3.6次TC群髮過程,在1978-2009年間TC群髮呈現齣減少的變化趨勢,但群髮彊度無明顯變化;(2)噹MJO彊對流位于印尼群島東部(即位相5)和西太平洋東部(即位相7)時西北太平洋TC最易群髮;而噹MJO對流主要位于非洲(即位相1)和印度洋西部時(即位相2)時,TC群髮受到抑製;(3)TC群髮活動後MJO的傳播髮生變化,這種變化與TC群髮活動本身及其引起的海氣相互作用通量的改變有關。
이용객관MJO지수급정의서북태평양열대기선(TC)군발표준,초보연구료서북태평양TC군발특정급기여MJO적상호작용,결과표명:(1)30°N이남적서북태평양해역평균매년발생3.6차TC군발과정,재1978-2009년간TC군발정현출감소적변화추세,단군발강도무명현변화;(2)당MJO강대류위우인니군도동부(즉위상5)화서태평양동부(즉위상7)시서북태평양TC최역군발;이당MJO대류주요위우비주(즉위상1)화인도양서부시(즉위상2)시,TC군발수도억제;(3)TC군발활동후MJO적전파발생변화,저충변화여TC군발활동본신급기인기적해기상호작용통량적개변유관。
By using the object MJO index and defining the clustering of tropical cyclone (TC) activities over the Western North Pacific (WNP), the clustering characteristics of tropical cyclones and their associations with MJO are discussed. The results show that 1) the frequency of the clustering of TCs is 3.6 per year in the south of 30°N over the WNP. There was a decreasing trend of the frequency of the clustering TC activities during 1978 to 2009, while there was not any trend of the intensity. 2) The clustering of TC activities favor occurring in MJO phase 5 and 7, when the strong MJO convection locates in the east of Indonesia and the east of western Pacific, while they seldom occur in MJO phase 1 and 2, when the strong MJO convection locates in Africa and the west of Indian Ocean.3) The characteristics of MJO propagation change after the clustering TC activities, such changes may possibly be related to the cluster activities themselves and the changes of the air-sea variables which they have brought about.