CAJ | 학술논문

　　本文对低碳农业评价指标体系的构建进行深入探讨，主要从农业生产要素产出效率、能源利用低碳化水平、农业生产方式低碳化水平、农业碳汇效应4个维度构建指标体系，并运用德尔菲法、加乘混合合成法确立综合指标评价值及设定低碳农业发展水平的等级评价标准，以此为科学量化评价农业低碳发展水平提供一个简便工具，实现对低碳农业评价由定性描述向定量分析的转变。在此基础上，将该评价指标体系应用于对广东省低碳农业发展综合评价的实证研究，以期为农业决策者制定和实施科学的低碳发展政策提供依据。研究结果显示，2006-2010年广东省低碳农业发展水平与低碳农业发展要求尚有较大差距，处于从较高碳发展水平向中碳发展水平迈进的阶段；“农业生产方式低碳化水平”成为广东农业低碳发展的最大制约性因素；与全国其他9省区比较，广东省低碳农业发展综合指数属于中等偏下的位次。由此可见，当前广东省高碳化的现代农业发展模式，成为阻碍低碳农业发展的最大因素；而坚持现有耕地的有效保护与合理拓展有效耕地面积，并因地制宜地提高农地的复种指数，对增强广东种植业的碳汇效应，保护和改善生态环境具有关键性的作用。
　　본문대저탄농업평개지표체계적구건진행심입탐토，주요종농업생산요소산출효솔、능원이용저탄화수평、농업생산방식저탄화수평、농업탄회효응4개유도구건지표체계，병운용덕이비법、가승혼합합성법학립종합지표평개치급설정저탄농업발전수평적등급평개표준，이차위과학양화평개농업저탄발전수평제공일개간편공구，실현대저탄농업평개유정성묘술향정량분석적전변。재차기출상，장해평개지표체계응용우대광동성저탄농업발전종합평개적실증연구，이기위농업결책자제정화실시과학적저탄발전정책제공의거。연구결과현시，2006-2010년광동성저탄농업발전수평여저탄농업발전요구상유교대차거，처우종교고탄발전수평향중탄발전수평매진적계단；“농업생산방식저탄화수평”성위엄동농업저탄발전적최대제약성인소；여전국기타9성구비교，광동성저탄농업발전종합지수속우중등편하적위차。유차가견，당전광동성고탄화적현대농업발전모식，성위조애저탄농업발전적최대인소；이견지현유경지적유효보호여합리탁전유효경지면적，병인지제의지제고농지적복충지수，대증강엄동충식업적탄회효응，보호화개선생태배경구유관건성적작용。
In the context of global warming, low-carbon agriculture is becoming the new exploration hot spot in the field of agriculture. However, So far, research on the comprehensive evaluation index system of low-carbon agriculture rarely published in the literature. academic research on the low-carbon development in agriculture is mostly limited to a qualitative study of the development of low-carbon agriculture, quantitative evaluation of low-carbon agriculture haven’t established a comprehensive set of metrics. Therefore, how to evaluate scientifically the assessment of the level of low-carbon agricultural development, and build a reasonable and effective evaluation system for low-carbon agriculture, are of great significance to low-carbon transition of China's agricultural production methods. For this reason, in this article, we explore the construction of low-carbon agricultural evaluation index system to provide some basis for the quantitative evaluation of low-carbon agriculture. we established a four-dimensional comprehensive evaluation index system, i.e. output efficiency of agricultural production factors, low carbon level of energy utilization, low carbon level of agricultural production mode and carbon sink effect of agriculture, and evaluated the development level of low-carbon agriculture in Guangdong from 2006 to 2010 by using the comprehensive elevation methods such as Delphi method and addition-multiplication synthesis method, so as to draw the following conclusions: there is still significant difference between the development level of low-carbon agriculture in Guangdong and the requirement for low-carbon agriculture development, and the agriculture in Guangdong is from the higher carbon development level to the medium carbon development level;compared with other 9 provinces and regions throughout the country, the composite index of low-carbon agriculture development in Guangdong is in the lower middle level. By using the index variable weight diagnostic method, we found that the lower index of“low carbon level of agricultural production mode” in Guangdong from 2006 to 2010 was the biggest factor of hindering the low-carbon development of agriculture in Guangdong.