CAJ | 학술논문

　　为提高先进的出行者信息服务(ATIS)对交通系统效率的改善能力，需深入分析ATIS不确定性问题对主动查询或被动接受ATIS的出行者的影响。回顾了近20年的相关文献，从出行者交通信息需求及影响因素、ATIS对出行者选择行为的影响、交通信息检索行为和出行选择决策模式、ATIS不确定性的作用机理等四方面分析了ATIS不确定性问题的国内外研究现状、存在问题及未来研究方向。指出既有文献缺乏对不确定性ATIS作用机理的深刻阐述，尤其缺少针对采用不同决策方式和具有不同知识水平的出行者的认知差异分析。未来研究只有关注出行者对ATIS不确定性的主观认知和感知价值，洞悉面向ATIS不确定性时各类出行者的适应性决策方法，才能有效改善ATIS的市场占有率。
　　위제고선진적출행자신식복무(ATIS)대교통계통효솔적개선능력，수심입분석ATIS불학정성문제대주동사순혹피동접수ATIS적출행자적영향。회고료근20년적상관문헌，종출행자교통신식수구급영향인소、ATIS대출행자선택행위적영향、교통신식검색행위화출행선택결책모식、ATIS불학정성적작용궤리등사방면분석료ATIS불학정성문제적국내외연구현상、존재문제급미래연구방향。지출기유문헌결핍대불학정성ATIS작용궤리적심각천술，우기결소침대채용불동결책방식화구유불동지식수평적출행자적인지차이분석。미래연구지유관주출행자대ATIS불학정성적주관인지화감지개치，동실면향ATIS불학정성시각류출행자적괄응성결책방법，재능유효개선ATIS적시장점유솔。
To improve the effectiveness of Advanced Traveler Information Servic-es (ATIS) in enhancing the efficiency of transportation systems, it is necessary to analyze the impacts of uncertainties on the travelers who either proactively use ATIS or passively receive ATIS. This paper makes a thorough review of literatures in the past two decades from four aspects, namely travelers’traffic information needs and impacting factors, travelers’choice behaviors under ATIS, the informa-tion retrieval behaviors and decision making patterns, and the mechanisms of ATIS uncertainties. The paper discusses the state-of-the-art domestic and abroad studies, problems, and future directions on ATIS uncertainties. It is found that there lacks in-depth discussion on the mechanism of ATIS uncertainties, especial-ly on cognitive variation analysis for travelers with different decision-making pat-terns and knowledge levels. ATIS market share would not be significantly im-proved in the future unless sufficient attentions can be paid to the perceived uncer-tainties and the cognitive values of ATIS uncertainties, as well as the adaptive de-cision making methods for different travelers under various ATIS uncertainties.