福建林业科技
福建林業科技
복건임업과기
JOURNAL OF FUJIAN FORESTRY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2013年
3期
120-127
,共8页
张万福%张永升%郝换换%张月辰%陶佩君
張萬福%張永升%郝換換%張月辰%陶珮君
장만복%장영승%학환환%장월신%도패군
枣树%农民%管护意愿%影响因素%Logit模型
棘樹%農民%管護意願%影響因素%Logit模型
조수%농민%관호의원%영향인소%Logit모형
jujube%farmer%management will%affecting factor%Logit Model
利用陕西省佳县6个村庄200个农户的调查数据,以农户行为学理论作为分析框架,运用Logit模型对农民枣树管护意愿及其影响因素进行计量分析。结果表明,调查对象是否是户主对农民枣树管护意愿具有显著影响;农民年龄、是否主要从事枣树管护、枣林地面积占家庭经营总土地面积比例以及社会化组织服务程度等变量与农民枣树管护意愿呈显著正相关关系;枣树管护用工及技术复杂程度、农资价格、裂果发生程度与农民枣树管护意愿呈显著负相关关系。
利用陝西省佳縣6箇村莊200箇農戶的調查數據,以農戶行為學理論作為分析框架,運用Logit模型對農民棘樹管護意願及其影響因素進行計量分析。結果錶明,調查對象是否是戶主對農民棘樹管護意願具有顯著影響;農民年齡、是否主要從事棘樹管護、棘林地麵積佔傢庭經營總土地麵積比例以及社會化組織服務程度等變量與農民棘樹管護意願呈顯著正相關關繫;棘樹管護用工及技術複雜程度、農資價格、裂果髮生程度與農民棘樹管護意願呈顯著負相關關繫。
이용합서성가현6개촌장200개농호적조사수거,이농호행위학이론작위분석광가,운용Logit모형대농민조수관호의원급기영향인소진행계량분석。결과표명,조사대상시부시호주대농민조수관호의원구유현저영향;농민년령、시부주요종사조수관호、조임지면적점가정경영총토지면적비례이급사회화조직복무정도등변량여농민조수관호의원정현저정상관관계;조수관호용공급기술복잡정도、농자개격、렬과발생정도여농민조수관호의원정현저부상관관계。
Based on 200 households survey data , this paper analyzed farmers'management willingness in six villages in Jiaxian , Shanxi Province .Making use of household behavior theory as analysis framework and took Logit models to made quantitative analysis for farmers'managemental will and effective factors .And results showed that whether it was headed of family would had significant impact for jujube management;the age, mainly engaged in jujube management , jujube forest land area of the family-run proportion of the total land area of social organization level of service date would had significantly positive correlation with the jujube manage -ment will;Jujube management employment and technical complexity , agricultural prices , jujube fruit cracking occurs dgreee would had significantly negative correlation with the farmers'management will .