CAJ | 학술논문

铜在我国经济发展与国家资源安全方面扮演着重要角色。采用“压力?状态?反应”(PSR)模型，构建了一套包含3个一级指标、9个二级指标、14个三级指标的铜资源安全综合评价指标体系，并运用功效系数法进行数据无量纲化处理，熵值法进行赋权。然后，选取1992-2011年的数据，计算出中国铜的PSR安全综合指数。结果表明，中国铜资源安全综合指数在低位回升，安全压力在改善，安全状态仍持续紧张，安全响应水平在提升，但铜的总体安全态势仍不容乐观。
동재아국경제발전여국가자원안전방면분연착중요각색。채용“압력?상태?반응”(PSR)모형，구건료일투포함3개일급지표、9개이급지표、14개삼급지표적동자원안전종합평개지표체계，병운용공효계수법진행수거무량강화처리，적치법진행부권。연후，선취1992-2011년적수거，계산출중국동적PSR안전종합지수。결과표명，중국동자원안전종합지수재저위회승，안전압력재개선，안전상태잉지속긴장，안전향응수평재제승，단동적총체안전태세잉불용악관。
Copper metal is one important raw material of national economy, and its security is tightly linked with industrialization process. A comprehensive security evaluation index system, including three first class indicators, nine second class indicators and fourteen third class indicators, was constructed based on the pressure?state?response (PSR) model. And efficacy coefficient method was adopted in dimensionless treatment and entropy method was used to obtain the weight. Then, the data of China’s copper from 1992 to 2011 were studied and collected. By processing these data, a comprehensive safety index of China’s copper was got. The results showed that the comprehensive safety index of China’s copper rose from its low point. The safety pressure state of China’s copper was improved. The safety state of China’s copper continued to be tight. The response state continued to rise. The overall situation of China’s copper safety was improving, but still not optimistic.