CAJ | 학술논문

针对突发事件的应急管理与决策的研究，提出以知识元为基础的情景库理念，重点阐述了情景结构、情景库辅助决策的过程及相关规则，为情景构建提供了新的途径。本研究一方面补充了针对情景模型管理库的相关研究，建立了情景模型管理与应用的基本体系；另一方面为突发事件的应对提供了较为系统的决策支持储备库，降低了应对决策的风险与不确定性，为高效应对不同情景下的突发事件提供了基础。
침대돌발사건적응급관리여결책적연구，제출이지식원위기출적정경고이념，중점천술료정경결구、정경고보조결책적과정급상관규칙，위정경구건제공료신적도경。본연구일방면보충료침대정경모형관리고적상관연구，건립료정경모형관리여응용적기본체계；령일방면위돌발사건적응대제공료교위계통적결책지지저비고，강저료응대결책적풍험여불학정성，위고효응대불동정경하적돌발사건제공료기출。
Based on the research of emergency management and decision-making, this paper proposes a concept of scenario library based on knowledge element, focusing on the scenario structure, scenario library decision support process and related rules, it provides a new way for scenario building. On the one hand, this study complements the related research for scenario model management library, and es-tablishes the system of scenario model management and application;on the other hand, it provides a more systematic decision support re-pository for emergencies, reducing the risks and uncertainties of responsive decision-making, and thus provides a foundation for efficient response to emergencies under different scenarios.