工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2014年
5期
3-13
,共11页
钱荒%理财产品%金融市场%商业银行%粗放型经济增长模式
錢荒%理財產品%金融市場%商業銀行%粗放型經濟增長模式
전황%리재산품%금융시장%상업은행%조방형경제증장모식
money shortage%financial products%financial market%commercial bank%extensive economic growth mode
在巨量广义货币供给的背景下,中国金融业发生“钱荒”看似一个令人费解的现象。在对2013~2014年初所发生的两次“钱荒”进行了综述后,同时基于相关理论和实证的分析,本文认为,2013年所发生的“钱荒”,直接原因看似为季节因素、监管压力、补缴法定准备金、资金外流、资产负债期限错配等等,而其深层次原因在于,中国粗放型经济增长模式和资产价格预期下降的情况下,金融资本过度进入非生产性投机领域,中国央行为预防由此带来的国家创新能力不足、剧烈通货膨胀、贫富差距扩大等一系列严重的经济社会问题,适时执行去杠杆化紧缩货币政策,导致银行等金融机构难以“借新还旧”。最后本文提出中国加强流动性管理的相关政策建议。
在巨量廣義貨幣供給的揹景下,中國金融業髮生“錢荒”看似一箇令人費解的現象。在對2013~2014年初所髮生的兩次“錢荒”進行瞭綜述後,同時基于相關理論和實證的分析,本文認為,2013年所髮生的“錢荒”,直接原因看似為季節因素、鑑管壓力、補繳法定準備金、資金外流、資產負債期限錯配等等,而其深層次原因在于,中國粗放型經濟增長模式和資產價格預期下降的情況下,金融資本過度進入非生產性投機領域,中國央行為預防由此帶來的國傢創新能力不足、劇烈通貨膨脹、貧富差距擴大等一繫列嚴重的經濟社會問題,適時執行去槓桿化緊縮貨幣政策,導緻銀行等金融機構難以“藉新還舊”。最後本文提齣中國加彊流動性管理的相關政策建議。
재거량엄의화폐공급적배경하,중국금융업발생“전황”간사일개령인비해적현상。재대2013~2014년초소발생적량차“전황”진행료종술후,동시기우상관이론화실증적분석,본문인위,2013년소발생적“전황”,직접원인간사위계절인소、감관압력、보격법정준비금、자금외류、자산부채기한착배등등,이기심층차원인재우,중국조방형경제증장모식화자산개격예기하강적정황하,금융자본과도진입비생산성투궤영역,중국앙행위예방유차대래적국가창신능력불족、극렬통화팽창、빈부차거확대등일계렬엄중적경제사회문제,괄시집행거강간화긴축화폐정책,도치은행등금융궤구난이“차신환구”。최후본문제출중국가강류동성관리적상관정책건의。
In a large number of broad money supply under the background of financial industry , Chinese “money shortage” is a puzzling phenomenon . This paper reviewed the two “money shortage” that took place in the 2013 to early 2014 , and the relevant theoreti-cal and empirical analysis , based on this thought , which happened in 2013 of the “money shortage” , the direct reason for seasonal fac-tors , seemingly is regulatory pressure , pay the reserve , the outflow of funds , asset liability maturity mismatches , and its deep-seated reason is that extensive mode of economic growth and asset prices are expected to decline , financial capital over into unproductive specula-tion in the field , the national innovation ability Chinese central behavior prevention resulting insufficiency , severe inflation , widening gap between rich and poor , a series of serious economic and social problems , timely execution to leverage of tight monetary policy , led to banks and other financial institutions to “borrow new also old” . At last this paper put forward relevant policy recommendations about Chi-nese strengthen liquidity management .