CAJ | 학술논문

在悬浮式深弹拦截鱼雷作战中，深弹布设是影响作战效能的关键因素。在分析深弹对鱼雷拦截概率及其影响因素的基础上，提出了深弹阵对预定拦截线有效覆盖率的概念；考量深弹的布设数量及阵形因素，建立了拦截概率的计算模型和深弹布设的优化决策模型；采用随机模拟和二项分布的正态逼近方法估算拦截概率，通过对可选方案的比较得到深弹布设的最优策略，并分析了模型的有效性。结果表明，该方法可为装备的指控自动化系统研发、战训法研讨提供参考。
재현부식심탄란절어뢰작전중，심탄포설시영향작전효능적관건인소。재분석심탄대어뢰란절개솔급기영향인소적기출상，제출료심탄진대예정란절선유효복개솔적개념；고량심탄적포설수량급진형인소，건립료란절개솔적계산모형화심탄포설적우화결책모형；채용수궤모의화이항분포적정태핍근방법고산란절개솔，통과대가선방안적비교득도심탄포설적최우책략，병분석료모형적유효성。결과표명，해방법가위장비적지공자동화계통연발、전훈법연토제공삼고。
In the combat of hovering depth charge intercepting torpedo,the laying of depth charges is a key factor that influences the war effectiveness.Based on the analysis of the interception probability and its influence factors,the concept of effective coverage rate for depth charge impact area to predetermined intercepting line is presented.Considering the amount and array of depth charges to be laid,the model for calculating interception probability and the optimization decision-making model of laying depth charges are constructed.By using ran-dom simulation and binomial distribution normal approximation,the interception probability is estimated.The best strategy of laying depth charges is gained by contrasting the optional projects,and the model effectiveness is analyzed.Results show that the proposed method can provide a reference for the research of command system and equipment training.