CAJ | 학술논문

为明确海洋财政政策在我国海洋经济增长中所起的重要作用，基于山东省1992-2011年的时间序列数据运用协整理论，通过全面考察海洋经济增长与海洋财政政策之间的关系，得出的实证结果表明，海洋经济增长对财政收入与支出均有很大的推动作用，且在1-10年的滞后期内其贡献率基本达到80％左右，而财政支出效用对海洋经济增长的贡献却不显著。由此说明，海洋经济已成为推动经济增长的新动力，另一方面因海洋产业财政投入的不足及支出结构的不合理在一定程度上制约着其经济增长效应的发挥。
위명학해양재정정책재아국해양경제증장중소기적중요작용，기우산동성1992-2011년적시간서렬수거운용협정이론，통과전면고찰해양경제증장여해양재정정책지간적관계，득출적실증결과표명，해양경제증장대재정수입여지출균유흔대적추동작용，차재1-10년적체후기내기공헌솔기본체도80％좌우，이재정지출효용대해양경제증장적공헌각불현저。유차설명，해양경제이성위추동경제증장적신동력，령일방면인해양산업재정투입적불족급지출결구적불합리재일정정도상제약착기경제증장효응적발휘。
To understand the role of financial policy played in marine economic growth ,this paper ana-lyzes the relationship between financial revenue and expenditure and marine economic grow th based on the data of Shandong Province in China from 1992 to 2012 through a co-integration analysis and Granger test . And the empirical results show that marine economic grow th has a great effect on local financial revenue and expenditure ,and within 1-10 years of hysteresis the contribution rate of marine economic grow th is up to about 80% .However ,the contribution of the fiscal expenditure to marine economic grow th is not significant .This indicates that marine economy is an important impetus to economic growth in Shandong Province ;however ,the composition of fiscal expenditure is not rational and not compatible to the changing marine economic environment ,w hich restricts the effects of fiscal expenditure on marine economic grow th .