CAJ | 학술논문

科技创新能力是经济发展的重要引擎，河南省作为中原第一大省，对我国经济的发展起着举足轻重的作用，促进河南省经济发展方式的转变，提高科技创新能力意义重大。文章以2006～2011年河南省的专利授权数作为科技创新能力的衡量指标，采用GM（1，1）模型对河南省2012～2015年的专利授权数进行动态预测，为提高河南省自主创新能力发展做出科学决策提供科学依据。
과기창신능력시경제발전적중요인경，하남성작위중원제일대성，대아국경제적발전기착거족경중적작용，촉진하남성경제발전방식적전변，제고과기창신능력의의중대。문장이2006～2011년하남성적전리수권수작위과기창신능력적형량지표，채용GM（1，1）모형대하남성2012～2015년적전리수권수진행동태예측，위제고하남성자주창신능력발전주출과학결책제공과학의거。
Scientific and technological innovative ability is an important engine of the development of economy, Henan Province, plays a pivotal role in the development of China’s economy , as the largest province in the center of China. It is significant to promote the transformation of economic development mode and improve the ability of science and technology innovation. This article ,employing the mode of GM(1,1) ,makes dynamic prediction of the number of patents of Henan Province from 2012 to 2015, based on the number of patents from 2006 to 2011, the result of this article plays an important role in guiding the policies aiming to improve the scientific and technological innovative ability of Henan Province.