财经理论与实践
財經理論與實踐
재경이론여실천
THE THEORY AND PRACTICE OF FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
2014年
4期
4-10
,共7页
宏观审慎管理%存贷期限错配%流动性风险%识别%控制
宏觀審慎管理%存貸期限錯配%流動性風險%識彆%控製
굉관심신관리%존대기한착배%류동성풍험%식별%공제
Macro-prudential Management%Deposit and Loan Maturity Mismatch%Liquidity Risk%Recognition%Control
存贷期限错配的流动性风险存在顺周期性与传染性,有必要从宏观审慎视角分析存贷期限错配流动性风险与系统性风险的关系。通过测算期限错配流动性缺口,对我国商业银行业资产占比很大的15家商业银行的存贷期限错配流动性风险进行识别,得出存贷期限错配流动性风险是2013年“钱荒”事件发生的重要导因的结论。采用适当的变量并通过面板回归模型分析,能够识别存贷款期限错配流动性风险的主要宏观影响因素和微观影响因素。因此,应从国家金融管理部门的外部控制和商业银行的内部控制两个方面控制存贷期限错配的流动性风险。
存貸期限錯配的流動性風險存在順週期性與傳染性,有必要從宏觀審慎視角分析存貸期限錯配流動性風險與繫統性風險的關繫。通過測算期限錯配流動性缺口,對我國商業銀行業資產佔比很大的15傢商業銀行的存貸期限錯配流動性風險進行識彆,得齣存貸期限錯配流動性風險是2013年“錢荒”事件髮生的重要導因的結論。採用適噹的變量併通過麵闆迴歸模型分析,能夠識彆存貸款期限錯配流動性風險的主要宏觀影響因素和微觀影響因素。因此,應從國傢金融管理部門的外部控製和商業銀行的內部控製兩箇方麵控製存貸期限錯配的流動性風險。
존대기한착배적류동성풍험존재순주기성여전염성,유필요종굉관심신시각분석존대기한착배류동성풍험여계통성풍험적관계。통과측산기한착배류동성결구,대아국상업은행업자산점비흔대적15가상업은행적존대기한착배류동성풍험진행식별,득출존대기한착배류동성풍험시2013년“전황”사건발생적중요도인적결론。채용괄당적변량병통과면판회귀모형분석,능구식별존대관기한착배류동성풍험적주요굉관영향인소화미관영향인소。인차,응종국가금융관리부문적외부공제화상업은행적내부공제량개방면공제존대기한착배적류동성풍험。
Due to liquidity risk's procyclicality and contagion,it is necessary to analyze the re-lationship between liquidity risk of deposit and loan maturity mismatch and systemic risk from the macro-prudential perspective.This paper measures the liquidity gap to recognize the liquidity risk caused by maturity mismatch of 1 5 commercial banks in China,these banks'assets account for a very large share of commercial banks.The results show that the liquidity risk of deposit and loan maturity mismatch is a significant reason for the 2013 “Money Shortage”event.Furthermore, panel regression model is introduced to recognize the macro factors,as well as the micro factors, influencing commercial banks'liquidity risk of deposit and loan maturity mismatch.On this basis, it is suggested to manage the liquidity risk of deposit and loan maturity mismatch by both external control from national financial departments and internal discipline from commercial banks.