中国房地产（学术版）
中國房地產（學術版）
중국방지산（학술판）
China Real Estate
2014年
7期
3-14
,共12页
住房自有率%人均GDP%外来人口%住房价格
住房自有率%人均GDP%外來人口%住房價格
주방자유솔%인균GDP%외래인구%주방개격
Homeownership rate%Per Capita GDP%Immigrant populations%Housing price
利用中国31个省和地区2010年的数据，首先计算各地区的住房自有率，然后考察住房自有率与地区经济发展水平的相关关系，并基于实证结果计算各地区的实际住房自有率。实证研究发现，住房自有率与经济发展水平之间存在“倒U型”曲线关系，即随着经济发展水平的提高，住房自有率先上升后下降，东中西部地区分别位于曲线的下降段、缓慢上升段和快速上升段。利用联立方程组的估计结果进一步支持了这一结论，同时还发现住房自有率对经济发展水平具有负向作用。
利用中國31箇省和地區2010年的數據，首先計算各地區的住房自有率，然後攷察住房自有率與地區經濟髮展水平的相關關繫，併基于實證結果計算各地區的實際住房自有率。實證研究髮現，住房自有率與經濟髮展水平之間存在“倒U型”麯線關繫，即隨著經濟髮展水平的提高，住房自有率先上升後下降，東中西部地區分彆位于麯線的下降段、緩慢上升段和快速上升段。利用聯立方程組的估計結果進一步支持瞭這一結論，同時還髮現住房自有率對經濟髮展水平具有負嚮作用。
이용중국31개성화지구2010년적수거，수선계산각지구적주방자유솔，연후고찰주방자유솔여지구경제발전수평적상관관계，병기우실증결과계산각지구적실제주방자유솔。실증연구발현，주방자유솔여경제발전수평지간존재“도U형”곡선관계，즉수착경제발전수평적제고，주방자유솔선상승후하강，동중서부지구분별위우곡선적하강단、완만상승단화쾌속상승단。이용련립방정조적고계결과진일보지지료저일결론，동시환발현주방자유솔대경제발전수평구유부향작용。
Employing the data of China’s 31 provinces and regions in 2010,the paper first calculate the homeownership rate for each region, and then empirically test the relationship between homeownership rate and the level of regional economic development,at last we calculate the“real homeownership rate”based on the estimation result.The empirical study found that there is a clear inverted-U relationship between homeownership rate and GDP per capita,which means that with the improvement of the level of economic development,homeownership rate first increases and then decreases.It also shows that eastern, central and western regions of China are located in descent stage,slow ascent and rapid increase stageofthe curve.Results of simultaneous equations further support this conclusion, and also indicatea negative effect of homeownership rate on the level of economic development.
