经济研究导刊
經濟研究導刊
경제연구도간
ECONOMIC RESEARCH GUIDE
2013年
28期
6-9,126
,共5页
王沁%杨宝莹%刘娟%昌春艳
王沁%楊寶瑩%劉娟%昌春豔
왕심%양보형%류연%창춘염
城乡差距%经济增长%分位数回归%自相关系数
城鄉差距%經濟增長%分位數迴歸%自相關繫數
성향차거%경제증장%분위수회귀%자상관계수
the urban-rural gap%economic growth%Quantile regression%Autocorrelation coefficients
以人均地区生产总值的对数增长幅度来衡量经济增长,以城镇居民消费水平与农村居民消费水平的比例作为城乡收入差距衡量指标,通过建立不同分位数下的分位数回归模型,揭示在经济增长的不同水平下,经济增长对城乡差距影响的变化。结果表明:当经济的水平比较快速时,经济增长的幅度变大,从而导致贫富差距加大,财富集中到城市中,城乡差距的扩大。政府必须防止经济增长由偏快转为过热,对通货膨胀进行严格的控制,使城乡收入差距的缩小与经济增长和谐一致发展。
以人均地區生產總值的對數增長幅度來衡量經濟增長,以城鎮居民消費水平與農村居民消費水平的比例作為城鄉收入差距衡量指標,通過建立不同分位數下的分位數迴歸模型,揭示在經濟增長的不同水平下,經濟增長對城鄉差距影響的變化。結果錶明:噹經濟的水平比較快速時,經濟增長的幅度變大,從而導緻貧富差距加大,財富集中到城市中,城鄉差距的擴大。政府必鬚防止經濟增長由偏快轉為過熱,對通貨膨脹進行嚴格的控製,使城鄉收入差距的縮小與經濟增長和諧一緻髮展。
이인균지구생산총치적대수증장폭도래형량경제증장,이성진거민소비수평여농촌거민소비수평적비례작위성향수입차거형량지표,통과건립불동분위수하적분위수회귀모형,게시재경제증장적불동수평하,경제증장대성향차거영향적변화。결과표명:당경제적수평비교쾌속시,경제증장적폭도변대,종이도치빈부차거가대,재부집중도성시중,성향차거적확대。정부필수방지경제증장유편쾌전위과열,대통화팽창진행엄격적공제,사성향수입차거적축소여경제증장화해일치발전。
In this paper,the logarithmic growth rate of per capita GDP is used as a measure index of the economic growth.The consumption ratio of urban residents and rural residents is used as a measure index of the urban-rural gap.Through the establishment of different quantile model,the impact of Urban-rural gap under the different levels of economic growth is shown and analyzed.The results show that:when the level of economic developments rapidly,the economic growth rate becomes larger,the gap between the rich and the poor increase, the wealth concentrate to the city,the urban-rural gap expand .The government must prevent economic growth from becoming overheated, control inflation strictly,,the urban-rural gap narrowed and economic growth will be Harmony.