CAJ | 학술논문

滑坡风险评估是一项相当复杂的工作，包含有很多不确定因素，因此很难用定量的方法准确的进行综合评估。鉴于评估对象的复杂性、模糊性和缺乏合理评价方法，结合工程实例选取影响滑坡灾害风险的主要指标，运用层次分析法确定各级指标权重，并将其用于模糊综合评判中。分析表明：模糊综合评判法用于对滑坡灾害风险评估是可行的，并将该结果与采用力学参数计算结果进行比较是相吻合的，而且该法能客观地反映评价指标对综合评估值影响的强弱，具有特有的优越性。
활파풍험평고시일항상당복잡적공작，포함유흔다불학정인소，인차흔난용정량적방법준학적진행종합평고。감우평고대상적복잡성、모호성화결핍합리평개방법，결합공정실례선취영향활파재해풍험적주요지표，운용층차분석법학정각급지표권중，병장기용우모호종합평판중。분석표명：모호종합평판법용우대활파재해풍험평고시가행적，병장해결과여채용역학삼수계산결과진행비교시상문합적，이차해법능객관지반영평개지표대종합평고치영향적강약，구유특유적우월성。
Project risk assessment is a rather complex work, which includes many uncertain factors. Hence, it is different for an accurate com-prehensive assessment using quantitative method. In view of complexity, fuzziness and lacking of reasonable evaluation method for assessment object,it applies AHP methodto determine index weight at all levels which is used for fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Analysis shows that fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method using for project risk assessment is feasible and the outcome is consistent with the mechanical calcula-tion, objectively reflects the indicator's dynamics to comprehensive assessment, and possess specific advantages.