CAJ | 학술논문

采用最大负荷比较法，对比了4种基准负荷的选择方法，依据实际电网的负荷数据，选择实际负荷减去基础负荷后得到的降温负荷与实际值最接近的情况所对应的基础负荷作为最终方案，建立了降温负荷与气温的敏感性高阶回归模型，据此获得降温负荷受气温影响的规律。将该方法应用于深圳电网降温负荷与气温的敏感性分析，得到相应的变化规律，获得深圳电网降温负荷的测算方法，为电网的生产调度、优化运行和营销工作提供重要参考依据。
채용최대부하비교법，대비료4충기준부하적선택방법，의거실제전망적부하수거，선택실제부하감거기출부하후득도적강온부하여실제치최접근적정황소대응적기출부하작위최종방안，건립료강온부하여기온적민감성고계회귀모형，거차획득강온부하수기온영향적규률。장해방법응용우심수전망강온부하여기온적민감성분석，득도상응적변화규률，획득심수전망강온부하적측산방법，위전망적생산조도、우화운행화영소공작제공중요삼고의거。
The comparative method of maximum load is used in this paper, comparing four reference load selection methods ap-plied to grid load data, selecting the reference load which result is the closest to actual cooling load as the final program. This paper establishes high-order regression models between the cooling load and the temperature, analyzes the cooling load influenced by tem-perature in Shenzhen grid, which will provide important reference for production scheduling, the optimal operation and marketing work of the grid.