CAJ | 학술논문

为了科学、有效地分析房产税对房地产市场的调控作用，提高房地产政策的合理性与前瞻性，有必要建立商品住宅系统政策仿真模型，深入分析住宅系统内各因素之间的反馈关系。基于建立的住宅仿真模型，实现对房产税政策的模拟实验，得出房产税政策对住宅需求市场以及住宅价格的影响程度。本文以昆明市房地产市场作为研究样本，利用仿真系统进行了实证分析。实证结果表明，房产税对住宅增量有抑制作用，但短期内对住宅价格影响程度有限。
위료과학、유효지분석방산세대방지산시장적조공작용，제고방지산정책적합이성여전첨성，유필요건립상품주택계통정책방진모형，심입분석주택계통내각인소지간적반궤관계。기우건립적주택방진모형，실현대방산세정책적모의실험，득출방산세정책대주택수구시장이급주택개격적영향정도。본문이곤명시방지산시장작위연구양본，이용방진계통진행료실증분석。실증결과표명，방산세대주택증량유억제작용，단단기내대주택개격영향정도유한。
In order to analyze the effects of real estate taxes on the real estate market scientifically and effectively, and improve the rationality and foresight of real estate policy, it's necessary to establish the system dynamics model of real estate, analyze the relationship between the factors. Based on residential simulation model, it realizes the simulation test of real estate tax policy. In this study, it takes the real estate market in Kunming as the research sample, uses simulation system for the empirical analysis. The empirical results show that the residential property tax increase was inhibited, but the short-term impact on housing prices is limited.