CAJ | 학술논문

文章根据焉耆盆地1992-2011年的统计数据对盆地耕地面积变动的驱动因素进行分析。经过计算得出结论，即经济发展、人口规模、农业生产等是焉耆盆地耕地规模变化主要的驱动因素。耕地面积与总人口、人均耕地面积、播种面积、地区生产总值、固定资产投资、农业总产值之间，存在较大的正相关性。其中相关性比较大的是农业总产值和地区生产总值，该区域中经济水平的变化影响耕地数量的变化，同时耕地数量的变化也影响各项经济指标的变化。
문장근거언기분지1992-2011년적통계수거대분지경지면적변동적구동인소진행분석。경과계산득출결론，즉경제발전、인구규모、농업생산등시언기분지경지규모변화주요적구동인소。경지면적여총인구、인균경지면적、파충면적、지구생산총치、고정자산투자、농업총산치지간，존재교대적정상관성。기중상관성비교대적시농업총산치화지구생산총치，해구역중경제수평적변화영향경지수량적변화，동시경지수량적변화야영향각항경제지표적변화。
Based on the statistics of Yanqi (Karaxar) Basin from 1992 to 2011, this paper analyzes the driving factors of the changing cultivated land area of the Basin. The results show that the economic development, population scale and agricultural production are the main driving factors;the cultivated land scale has a positive correlation to the population, the agricultural acreage per capita, the sown area, totals regional output value, fixed asset investment and total agricultural output. In this region, the change of economic level influences the change of the sown area, and the change of the sown area influences the change of all economic indices.