经济问题
經濟問題
경제문제
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS
2013年
9期
125-128
,共4页
进出口贸易%港口%物流
進齣口貿易%港口%物流
진출구무역%항구%물류
import and export%trade%port
基于厦门1983～2011的年度统计数据，借助EViews6．0计量软件，对厦门外贸进出口总额和厦门港货物吞吐量时间序列进行协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验并建立误差修正模型，得到进出口贸易和港口物流之间的长期稳定的协整关系和短期变化关系，并提出发展港口物流，促进进出口贸易发展的相关建议。
基于廈門1983～2011的年度統計數據，藉助EViews6．0計量軟件，對廈門外貿進齣口總額和廈門港貨物吞吐量時間序列進行協整分析、格蘭傑因果關繫檢驗併建立誤差脩正模型，得到進齣口貿易和港口物流之間的長期穩定的協整關繫和短期變化關繫，併提齣髮展港口物流，促進進齣口貿易髮展的相關建議。
기우하문1983～2011적년도통계수거，차조EViews6．0계량연건，대하문외무진출구총액화하문항화물탄토량시간서렬진행협정분석、격란걸인과관계검험병건립오차수정모형，득도진출구무역화항구물류지간적장기은정적협정관계화단기변화관계，병제출발전항구물류，촉진진출구무역발전적상관건의。
Based on the statistical data from the year 1983 to 2011 of Xiamen, with the aid of EViews6.0 , this paper empirically analyzed the relationship between total volume of imports and exports and Cargo throughput of Xiamen port by using co -integration theory , Granger causality test and error correction model .It reached the con-clusion that there are long -term stability relationship and short -term changing relationship between foreign trade and port logistics of Xiamen , and put forward some suggestions on the development of port logistics and foreign trade of Xiamen.
