中国工程科学
中國工程科學
중국공정과학
ENGINEERING SCIENCE
2013年
10期
80-90
,共11页
张宁%张强勇%李媛%马林建
張寧%張彊勇%李媛%馬林建
장저%장강용%리원%마림건
风险综合评价和管理体系%盐岩%能源地下储备库群
風險綜閤評價和管理體繫%鹽巖%能源地下儲備庫群
풍험종합평개화관리체계%염암%능원지하저비고군
integrated risk and management assessment%salt rock%underground energy storage
利用盐岩洞穴进行能源地下储备是我国能源储备的重点战略部署方向。我国盐岩地层埋深浅,呈层状分布,且夹层较多,地质条件相对复杂,增加储库灾变的可能性,因此建立一套盐岩能源地下储备库群风险综合评价和管理体系尤显重要。根据盐岩地下储库群灾变事故的统计结果,获取了盐岩地下储库的主要风险因子,对库群风险进行了辨识。建立了盐岩地下库群风险评价方法和风险分级标准,通过数值模拟方法对失效概率进行了核算,评价了金坛盐岩库群风险等级,并通过模型试验对结果进行了验证,开发了基于计算机网络技术的盐岩地下库群风险信息管理与评估系统,建立了盐岩能源地下储备库群风险综合评价和管理体系。
利用鹽巖洞穴進行能源地下儲備是我國能源儲備的重點戰略部署方嚮。我國鹽巖地層埋深淺,呈層狀分佈,且夾層較多,地質條件相對複雜,增加儲庫災變的可能性,因此建立一套鹽巖能源地下儲備庫群風險綜閤評價和管理體繫尤顯重要。根據鹽巖地下儲庫群災變事故的統計結果,穫取瞭鹽巖地下儲庫的主要風險因子,對庫群風險進行瞭辨識。建立瞭鹽巖地下庫群風險評價方法和風險分級標準,通過數值模擬方法對失效概率進行瞭覈算,評價瞭金罈鹽巖庫群風險等級,併通過模型試驗對結果進行瞭驗證,開髮瞭基于計算機網絡技術的鹽巖地下庫群風險信息管理與評估繫統,建立瞭鹽巖能源地下儲備庫群風險綜閤評價和管理體繫。
이용염암동혈진행능원지하저비시아국능원저비적중점전략부서방향。아국염암지층매심천,정층상분포,차협층교다,지질조건상대복잡,증가저고재변적가능성,인차건립일투염암능원지하저비고군풍험종합평개화관리체계우현중요。근거염암지하저고군재변사고적통계결과,획취료염암지하저고적주요풍험인자,대고군풍험진행료변식。건립료염암지하고군풍험평개방법화풍험분급표준,통과수치모의방법대실효개솔진행료핵산,평개료금단염암고군풍험등급,병통과모형시험대결과진행료험증,개발료기우계산궤망락기술적염암지하고군풍험신식관리여평고계통,건립료염암능원지하저비고군풍험종합평개화관리체계。
The underground energy storage utilizing salt rock caverns is the national key strategic develop-ment of energy reserves. Salt mines in China are characterized as shallow burial,stratified distribution and multi-ple interlayers,that increasing the possibility of storage disasters. Therefore,establishing a synthetic evaluation system for the risk of underground salt rock energy storage is of a great necessity. Based on the statistical analysis of salt rock underground storage risk events,the main risk factors have been attained and the risk of underground storage has been identified. Accordingly,the underground storage risk assessment method and criterion have been set,the risk probability is calculated by the numerical simulation to assess the risk level of Jintan salt rock storage,and a model test has been conducted to verify the result,Underground Salt Rock Gas Storage Risk Infor-mation Management and Assessment has been developed via computer network technology,and salt rock under-ground energy storage risk integrated assessment and management system has been established.