江苏开发大学学报
江囌開髮大學學報
강소개발대학학보
Journal of Jiangsu Radio & Television University
2014年
2期
80-84
,共5页
产业结构变迁%劳动力工资%农村剩余劳动力%内生性%联立方程
產業結構變遷%勞動力工資%農村剩餘勞動力%內生性%聯立方程
산업결구변천%노동력공자%농촌잉여노동력%내생성%련립방정
industrial structure change%labor wage%rural surplus labor%endogenous%simultaneous equations
劳动力剩余、劳动力工资和产业结构之间长期以来表现出一种复杂的关系,以致学术界对其间的相互影响难以形成统一的观点。根据中部六省1999-2011年的经济发展数据,构建产业结构变迁与劳动力市场变化之间的联立方程模型,对中部六省劳动力剩余、劳动力工资和产业结构的关系进行实证分析,发现大量的剩余劳动力的存在和工资的上涨对产业结构转型升级有巨大贡献,同时产业结构的变迁也有助于劳动力工资的上涨和农村剩余劳动力的转移。除此之外,内资和内需也是推动中部六省产业结构升级的重要因素,而经济因素和宏观因素是影响工资和剩余劳动力数量的决定性因素。
勞動力剩餘、勞動力工資和產業結構之間長期以來錶現齣一種複雜的關繫,以緻學術界對其間的相互影響難以形成統一的觀點。根據中部六省1999-2011年的經濟髮展數據,構建產業結構變遷與勞動力市場變化之間的聯立方程模型,對中部六省勞動力剩餘、勞動力工資和產業結構的關繫進行實證分析,髮現大量的剩餘勞動力的存在和工資的上漲對產業結構轉型升級有巨大貢獻,同時產業結構的變遷也有助于勞動力工資的上漲和農村剩餘勞動力的轉移。除此之外,內資和內需也是推動中部六省產業結構升級的重要因素,而經濟因素和宏觀因素是影響工資和剩餘勞動力數量的決定性因素。
노동력잉여、노동력공자화산업결구지간장기이래표현출일충복잡적관계,이치학술계대기간적상호영향난이형성통일적관점。근거중부륙성1999-2011년적경제발전수거,구건산업결구변천여노동력시장변화지간적련립방정모형,대중부륙성노동력잉여、노동력공자화산업결구적관계진행실증분석,발현대량적잉여노동력적존재화공자적상창대산업결구전형승급유거대공헌,동시산업결구적변천야유조우노동력공자적상창화농촌잉여노동력적전이。제차지외,내자화내수야시추동중부륙성산업결구승급적중요인소,이경제인소화굉관인소시영향공자화잉여노동력수량적결정성인소。
Surplus labor, labor wage and industrial structure have long presented a complicated relationship so that it is difficult to unify an opinion about their interaction. This paper, according to the panel data of the six central provinces from 1999-2011, creates a simultaneous equation model between the industrial structure change and the labor market change in order to analyze the relationship among the surplus labor, labor wage and industrial structure. The results show the vast surplus labor and labor wage inflation have a huge contribution to the transfer and upgrading of industrial structure. Meanwhile,the industrial structure changes will help the labor wage inflation and the transfer of rural surplus labor. In addition, domestic capital and domestic demand are also the important factors of promoting industrial structure upgrading,while the economic factors and macroscopical factors play a decisive role in labor wage and the number of the surplus labor.