CAJ | 학술논문

根据近年来广东省家用电脑的销售量，采用时间序列预测法预测了2012～2020年的销售量，运用斯坦福估算模型估算了2012～2022年的废弃量。结果表明：逐年稳步上升的家用电脑销售量，随着时间的推移将建立一个巨大的潜在丢弃池，累计到2022年废弃量将达到4154．19万台。对广东省开展废旧家用电脑回收工作提出了建议。
근거근년래광동성가용전뇌적소수량，채용시간서렬예측법예측료2012～2020년적소수량，운용사탄복고산모형고산료2012～2022년적폐기량。결과표명：축년은보상승적가용전뇌소수량，수착시간적추이장건립일개거대적잠재주기지，루계도2022년폐기량장체도4154．19만태。대광동성개전폐구가용전뇌회수공작제출료건의。
According to the home computer sales of Guangdong Province in recent years ,this study uses time series forecasting method to predict the sales from 2012 to 2020 ,and uses Stanford estimation model to estimate the waste quantities from 2012 to 2022 .The results show that home computer sale quantity increases steadily year by year , thus it will build a huge pool of potential discards over time ,and the obsolete volume will reach 41 .5419 million units accumulated to 2022 .The study also puts forward the proposals of how to recycle the waste home computers .