CAJ | 학술논문

提出了一种改进相关矩阵蒙特卡罗模拟法与拉丁超立方采样法相结合的多维相关风速抽样方法，并把该方法应用于含多个风电场的发输电系统可靠性评估。通过实际风速数据对模型的验证表明：提出的风速相关模型能够充分保持实际风速数据的概率分布，基本统计量和相关特性。将该模型和方法应用到 MRTS可靠性测试系统中，证明了该方法适用于含具有风速相关性的风电场的发输电系统可靠性评估。并通过算例，对风速相关性程度、风电场接入位置和风能渗透水平三个因素对含风电场的发输电系统可靠性的影响进行了分析。
제출료일충개진상관구진몽특잡라모의법여랍정초립방채양법상결합적다유상관풍속추양방법，병파해방법응용우함다개풍전장적발수전계통가고성평고。통과실제풍속수거대모형적험증표명：제출적풍속상관모형능구충분보지실제풍속수거적개솔분포，기본통계량화상관특성。장해모형화방법응용도 MRTS가고성측시계통중，증명료해방법괄용우함구유풍속상관성적풍전장적발수전계통가고성평고。병통과산례，대풍속상관성정도、풍전장접입위치화풍능삼투수평삼개인소대함풍전장적발수전계통가고성적영향진행료분석。
This paper presents a sampling method of multidimensional correlated wind speed that combines with improved correlation matrix Monte Carlo simulation method and Latin hypercube sampling method. The proposed method has been applied to composite generation and transmission system reliability evaluation with multiple wind farms. The tests using actual wind speed data verify that the proposed model for wind speed correlation can capture the statistical properties of actual wind speeds, including probability distributions, basic statistics and correlations. The results from the application of the proposed method to the MRTS reliability test system demonstrate that this method is appropriate for reliability evaluation of composite generation and transmission system containing multiple wind farms with correlations. And according to some examples, the effects of wind speed correlation, position of wind farm and wind power penetration level on composite generation and transmission system reliability including wind farms are analyzed.