灾害学
災害學
재해학
JOURNAL OF CATASTROPHOLOGY
2014年
4期
16-19,88
,共5页
门永生%朱朝阳%于振%吴睦远%何真珍
門永生%硃朝暘%于振%吳睦遠%何真珍
문영생%주조양%우진%오목원%하진진
电网%重要基础设施%自然灾害%脆弱性%指数评价
電網%重要基礎設施%自然災害%脆弱性%指數評價
전망%중요기출설시%자연재해%취약성%지수평개
grid%important infrastructure%natural disaster%vulnerability%index assessment
电网重要基础设施对自然灾害表现出较为显著的脆弱性。针对典型自然灾害对电网重要设施影响的特征,构建了基于8类典型自然灾害的电网重要基础设施脆弱性评价指标体系,包括静态和动态3级共40个指标。针对静态指标提出了对电网重要基础设施进行评价的指数评价方法,确定各指数的取值范围,划分评价等级标准,给出了评价流程及综合指数的计算规则。实例分析表明某电网重要基础设施---枢纽变电站自然灾害脆弱性综合指数为155,脆弱性等级为中等,其中雷击脆弱性指数最高为72。基于该评价方法不仅可用于同类电网重要基础设施自然灾害脆弱性对比排序,并且还可通过评价找出电网重要基础设施的脆弱性环节,从而采取有针对性预防措施,切实提高电网重要基础设施的防灾减灾水平,保障电网系统安全稳定运行。
電網重要基礎設施對自然災害錶現齣較為顯著的脆弱性。針對典型自然災害對電網重要設施影響的特徵,構建瞭基于8類典型自然災害的電網重要基礎設施脆弱性評價指標體繫,包括靜態和動態3級共40箇指標。針對靜態指標提齣瞭對電網重要基礎設施進行評價的指數評價方法,確定各指數的取值範圍,劃分評價等級標準,給齣瞭評價流程及綜閤指數的計算規則。實例分析錶明某電網重要基礎設施---樞紐變電站自然災害脆弱性綜閤指數為155,脆弱性等級為中等,其中雷擊脆弱性指數最高為72。基于該評價方法不僅可用于同類電網重要基礎設施自然災害脆弱性對比排序,併且還可通過評價找齣電網重要基礎設施的脆弱性環節,從而採取有針對性預防措施,切實提高電網重要基礎設施的防災減災水平,保障電網繫統安全穩定運行。
전망중요기출설시대자연재해표현출교위현저적취약성。침대전형자연재해대전망중요설시영향적특정,구건료기우8류전형자연재해적전망중요기출설시취약성평개지표체계,포괄정태화동태3급공40개지표。침대정태지표제출료대전망중요기출설시진행평개적지수평개방법,학정각지수적취치범위,화분평개등급표준,급출료평개류정급종합지수적계산규칙。실례분석표명모전망중요기출설시---추뉴변전참자연재해취약성종합지수위155,취약성등급위중등,기중뢰격취약성지수최고위72。기우해평개방법불부가용우동류전망중요기출설시자연재해취약성대비배서,병차환가통과평개조출전망중요기출설시적취약성배절,종이채취유침대성예방조시,절실제고전망중요기출설시적방재감재수평,보장전망계통안전은정운행。
Important grid infrastructures exhibit significant vulnerability in case of natural disasters.Accord-ing to the characteristics of impact of typical natural disasters on the important grid facilities,a vulnerability evalua-tion index system,including 3 levels of static and dynamic and as a total of 40 index,is built for important grid in-frastructure based on 8 kinds of typical natural disasters.Based on the static index,the index evaluation method is proposed,the value range of each index is determined,the evaluation grade standards are determined,and the e-valuation process and calculation rules of the composite index are given.It is shown in example analysis that the natural disaster vulnerability index of a hub substation,an important infrastructure of a grid,is 155,of medium vulnerability grade,and the lightning vulnerability index is the highest as 72.The evaluation method not only can be used in comparative sequencing of natural disaster vulnerability of similar important grid infrastructures,and can also be find out the weak links of the infrastructures through the evaluation,therefore targeted preventive measures could be taken accordingly to improve the ability of disaster prevention and mitigation and guarantee safe operation of the grid system.