CAJ | 학술논문

利用1951-2011年中国756个观测站的月降水资料,分析了北方干旱区和半干旱区暖季降水的变化.结果表明干旱区和半干旱区的降水近60年来表现出相反的变化趋势：干旱区的暖季降水整体是增加的,增长速率为0.27 mm/a,而半干旱区的暖季降水整体是减少的,减少速率为0.80 mm/a.存在这样的差异主要是因为两个区域受不同的环流系统所控制,即干旱区为西风控制区,而半干旱区则为季风区.通过对两个区域降水偏多(偏少)年大气环流的合成分析发现,当西风气流加强、位置偏南,黑海、里海和巴尔喀什湖的水汽被输送到我国干旱区,有利于该地区的降水,反之干旱区降水则偏少；而当东亚夏季风较强时,水汽向西能到达甘肃中部(105?E),向北能到达整个华北和东北地区,因此半干旱区降水偏多,反之半干旱区降水则偏少.
이용1951-2011년중국756개관측참적월강수자료,분석료북방간한구화반간한구난계강수적변화.결과표명간한구화반간한구적강수근60년래표현출상반적변화추세：간한구적난계강수정체시증가적,증장속솔위0.27 mm/a,이반간한구적난계강수정체시감소적,감소속솔위0.80 mm/a.존재저양적차이주요시인위량개구역수불동적배류계통소공제,즉간한구위서풍공제구,이반간한구칙위계풍구.통과대량개구역강수편다(편소)년대기배류적합성분석발현,당서풍기류가강、위치편남,흑해、리해화파이객십호적수기피수송도아국간한구,유리우해지구적강수,반지간한구강수칙편소；이당동아하계풍교강시,수기향서능도체감숙중부(105?E),향북능도체정개화북화동북지구,인차반간한구강수편다,반지반간한구강수칙편소.
The warm-season precipitation changes in arid and semi-arid areas over Northern China were ana-lyzed with monthly precipitation data from 756 stations in China from 1951 to 2011. The results indicated that the precipitation of arid and semi-arid areas showed an opposite trend in the recent 60 years. The warm-season precipitation increased overall in arid areas with 0.27 mm/a and decreased in semi-arid areas with 0.80 mm/a. The difference existed mainly because the two regions were controlled by different circulation systems, that is, the arid area by westerlies and semi-arid area by monsoons. A composite analysis of atmospheric circulation in these two areas for years with more (less) precipitation showed that, when westerly flow was strong and was southward, the water vapor of the Black Sea, the Caspian Sea and Lake Balkhash was carried to the arid region, conducive to the precipitation thereof, and vice versa. When the East Asian summer monsoon was strong and the water vapor was going westward to central Gansu (105?E), and northward to the entire north and northeast China, the precipitation of semi-arid areas increased, and vice versa.