CAJ | 학술논문

目的：通过研究北京地区1724-1783年60年实际降水变化，探讨“太阴湿土”和“阳明燥金”分别位于司天和在泉之位时的降水量变化的趋势。方法对北京地区60年降水数据采用两种方法进行比较：第一，按“十二地支”将年份分类，将60年分别对应“司天”和“在泉”进行归类，并计算出年平均降水量均值；第二，比较60年中六步“司天”和“在泉”的上半年或下半年降水量，着重观察“太阴湿土”和“阳明燥金”客气位于“司天”和“在泉”之位时其对应年份的三之气、终之气降水量，半年降水量和全年降水量；第三，用非参数检验的Kruskal-Wallis H检验方法进行统计比较。结果分析司天、在泉之气的情况与北京地区60年实际降水量变化相比较，三之气为“太阴湿土”时，其对应的全年、上半年和三之气的降水量均高于60年均值；三之气为“阳明燥金”时，其对应的全年、上半年和三之气的降水量均低于60年均值。而当“太阴湿土”和“阳明燥金”之气位于终之气时位时，则没有上述变化趋势。其降水量变化差异均没有统计学意义（P＞0.05）。结论北京地区60年实际降水变化与司天之气所推算出的气候变化模式是有一定的吻合趋势的，但差异无统计学意义。
목적：통과연구북경지구1724-1783년60년실제강수변화，탐토“태음습토”화“양명조금”분별위우사천화재천지위시적강수량변화적추세。방법대북경지구60년강수수거채용량충방법진행비교：제일，안“십이지지”장년빈분류，장60년분별대응“사천”화“재천”진행귀류，병계산출년평균강수량균치；제이，비교60년중륙보“사천”화“재천”적상반년혹하반년강수량，착중관찰“태음습토”화“양명조금”객기위우“사천”화“재천”지위시기대응년빈적삼지기、종지기강수량，반년강수량화전년강수량；제삼，용비삼수검험적Kruskal-Wallis H검험방법진행통계비교。결과분석사천、재천지기적정황여북경지구60년실제강수량변화상비교，삼지기위“태음습토”시，기대응적전년、상반년화삼지기적강수량균고우60년균치；삼지기위“양명조금”시，기대응적전년、상반년화삼지기적강수량균저우60년균치。이당“태음습토”화“양명조금”지기위우종지기시위시，칙몰유상술변화추세。기강수량변화차이균몰유통계학의의（P＞0.05）。결론북경지구60년실제강수변화여사천지기소추산출적기후변화모식시유일정적문합추세적，단차이무통계학의의。
Objective Discuss the trend of actual precipitation when TaiYin damp earth and YangMing dry gold locate in the place of celestial manager qi and qi in the earth according to the actual precipitation in BeiJing area in 60 years from the year 1724 to 1783. Methods Analyse the actual precipitation data in BeiJing area in 60 years in two ways:First,classify the 60 years on the basis of terrestrial branch and celestial manager qi,qi in the earth,compute the mean value of precipitation of each year;Second, compare the precipitation in first or second half year between the six steps’celestial manager qi and qi in the earth,especially observe the precipitation in three conditions of qi movement,in the last condition of qi movement,in first half year and in second half year when the year that TaiYin damp earth and YangMing dry gold locate in the place of celestial manager qi and qi in the earth;Third,analyse the precipitation data using the Kruskal-Wallis H way in non-parametric test. Results According to the compare of the trend of celestial manager qi,qi in the earth and the actual precipitation in BeiJing area in 60 years,the mean values of the precipitation in the whole year,in the first half year and in three conditions of qi movement are more than 60 years’when TaiYin damp earth locate in three conditions of qi movement;the mean values of the precipitation in the whole year,in the first half year and in three conditions of qi movement are less than 60 years’when YangMing dry gold locate in three conditions of qi movement,however,there isn’t any similar trend when TaiYin damp earth or YangMing dry gold locate in the three conditions of qi movement. There is no statistical significance in the difference between various change of precipitation (P>0.05). Conclusion There exist some uniformities between the trend’s of celestial manager qi,qi in the earth and the actual precipitation in BeiJing area in 60 years,however,they have no statistical significance.