CAJ | 학술논문

基于用地决策法的空间负荷预测法，建立了发展中城市的电动汽车及其充电负荷的空间分布预测模型。结合电动汽车的空间分布及其出行特性，对电网负荷率和网损进行分析，以优化城市配电网利用率为目标，构建出电动汽车强制性有序充电模型。通过算例说明在较高的电动汽车市场普及率下无序充电将给城市配网带来严重负荷冲击，并验证了本文所构建的有序充电模型在不同市场普及率下的有效性。
기우용지결책법적공간부하예측법，건립료발전중성시적전동기차급기충전부하적공간분포예측모형。결합전동기차적공간분포급기출행특성，대전망부하솔화망손진행분석，이우화성시배전망이용솔위목표，구건출전동기차강제성유서충전모형。통과산례설명재교고적전동기차시장보급솔하무서충전장급성시배망대래엄중부하충격，병험증료본문소구건적유서충전모형재불동시장보급솔하적유효성。
Using spatial load forecasting method based land-use decision method, this paper establishes the model of spatial distribution forecasting for electric vehicles and the charging load in developing cities. Com-bining spatial distribution of electric vehicles and the travel features, the paper analyzes the load factor and grid loss and establishes a mandatory coordinated charging model in order to optimize the utilization of distri-bution network. It is illustrated by the example that uncoordinated charging mode has serious impact on the distribution network in case of high vehicle popularizing rate; moreover, it verifies that the model is valid in different popularization rates.