西北水电
西北水電
서북수전
NORTHWEST WATER POWER
2013年
5期
74-77
,共4页
胡己坤%吉超盈%刘玮%牛子曦
鬍己坤%吉超盈%劉瑋%牛子晞
호기곤%길초영%류위%우자희
风电场%设计%年上网电量%折减因子%不确定因子%概率折减法
風電場%設計%年上網電量%摺減因子%不確定因子%概率摺減法
풍전장%설계%년상망전량%절감인자%불학정인자%개솔절감법
wind farm%yearly grid electricity%reduction factor%uncertain factor%probability reduction method
系统论述了概率折减法计算设计年上网电量的原理及方法,并以中国西北地区某风电场为例进行演算,得到了不同目标保证率下的设计电量值,计算结果能够很好地满足业主的风险管理需要,具有很强的投资参考价值。
繫統論述瞭概率摺減法計算設計年上網電量的原理及方法,併以中國西北地區某風電場為例進行縯算,得到瞭不同目標保證率下的設計電量值,計算結果能夠很好地滿足業主的風險管理需要,具有很彊的投資參攷價值。
계통논술료개솔절감법계산설계년상망전량적원리급방법,병이중국서북지구모풍전장위례진행연산,득도료불동목표보증솔하적설계전량치,계산결과능구흔호지만족업주적풍험관리수요,구유흔강적투자삼고개치。
The principle and method for the yearly grid electricity calculated by probability reduction method are described systematical-ly.With one wind farm in west China as an example, the designed yearly grid electricity is calculated and different values under different target reliability are gained.The calculation results well satisfy the Client's requirement on risk management and are with higher reference value for investment .