CAJ | 학술논문

宁波市地处浙东沿海，是典型重洪涝灾害地区。以宁波市下辖县(市、区)为基本评价单元，选定21个指标因子建立洪涝灾害防灾减灾评价体系，并采用层次分析法和模糊综合评价法进行宁波市防灾减灾能力综合评估。结果表明：宁波市主城区的防灾减灾能力最高；镇海区防灾减灾能力相对较高；北仑区、鄞州区和宁海县的防灾减灾能力相对较低；象山县、奉化市、余姚市和慈溪市的洪涝灾害防灾减灾能力最低。本研究结果可为宁波市洪涝灾害防灾减灾提供科学决策。
저파시지처절동연해，시전형중홍로재해지구。이저파시하할현(시、구)위기본평개단원，선정21개지표인자건립홍로재해방재감재평개체계，병채용층차분석법화모호종합평개법진행저파시방재감재능력종합평고。결과표명：저파시주성구적방재감재능력최고；진해구방재감재능력상대교고；북륜구、은주구화저해현적방재감재능력상대교저；상산현、봉화시、여요시화자계시적홍로재해방재감재능력최저。본연구결과가위저파시홍로재해방재감재제공과학결책。
Located in the east of Zhejiang province, Ningbo city is such a coastal area that is subject to flooding. Based on the study on 5 counties and 6 districts of Ningbo city, an assessment of capacity of flood disaster prevention and reduction is made using 16 selected indicators, including economic and environmental information. The evaluation technique adopts the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (FCA). The results show that the capacity of flood disaster prevention and reduction is ranked high in Ningbo metropolitan (including Haishu, Jiangdong and Jiangbei districts ), followed by Zhenhai district. The capacity is ranked relatively low in Beilun district, Yinzhou and Ninghai, Xiangshan, Fenghua, Yuyao, with Cixi being the lowest. This research can serve as a practical reference in the decision-making for the flood prevention and reduction in Ningbo city.