财经论丛
財經論叢
재경론총
COLLECTED ESSAYS ON FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
2014年
1期
3-9
,共7页
南南贸易%中印贸易%碳排放%投入产出模型
南南貿易%中印貿易%碳排放%投入產齣模型
남남무역%중인무역%탄배방%투입산출모형
South-South%Sino-Indian trade%carbon emissions%input-output model
本文测算和分析了中印贸易对我国碳排放的影响以及影响中印贸易隐含碳排放的驱动因素。分析结果表明，南南贸易与南北贸易对中国的环境影响是不同的，一方面，尽管中国处于中印贸易的“污染顺差”地位，但净贸易含碳量并未快速增长，“环境贸易条件”也不断改善；另一方面，导致我国对印度持续污染顺差的主要原因在于我国对印度的贸易顺差，而非技术水平与进出口商品结构等因素。因此，为降低与发展中国家对外贸易产生的污染排放，中国需要在“贸易顺差”与“污染逆差”中进行取舍。
本文測算和分析瞭中印貿易對我國碳排放的影響以及影響中印貿易隱含碳排放的驅動因素。分析結果錶明，南南貿易與南北貿易對中國的環境影響是不同的，一方麵，儘管中國處于中印貿易的“汙染順差”地位，但淨貿易含碳量併未快速增長，“環境貿易條件”也不斷改善；另一方麵，導緻我國對印度持續汙染順差的主要原因在于我國對印度的貿易順差，而非技術水平與進齣口商品結構等因素。因此，為降低與髮展中國傢對外貿易產生的汙染排放，中國需要在“貿易順差”與“汙染逆差”中進行取捨。
본문측산화분석료중인무역대아국탄배방적영향이급영향중인무역은함탄배방적구동인소。분석결과표명，남남무역여남북무역대중국적배경영향시불동적，일방면，진관중국처우중인무역적“오염순차”지위，단정무역함탄량병미쾌속증장，“배경무역조건”야불단개선；령일방면，도치아국대인도지속오염순차적주요원인재우아국대인도적무역순차，이비기술수평여진출구상품결구등인소。인차，위강저여발전중국가대외무역산생적오염배방，중국수요재“무역순차”여“오염역차”중진행취사。
This paper assesses and analyzes the influence of Sino-Indian trade on China's carbon emissions , and the driv-ing factors that affect the Sino-Indian implicit carbon emissions .Results prove to be different from the findings of the implicit pollution emissions in the trade between China and developed countries .Firstly, China is in the “pollution surplus” status in its trade with India , but its net trade carbon content has not grown rapidly , and its environmental terms of trade continues to improve.Secondly, the main reason of China's continued pollution surplus to India lies in its trade surplus rather than in its technology level and trade commodity structure .Therefore, to reduce its pollution emissions in its trade with developing coun-tries, China should make a choice between “trade surplus” and “pollution deficit”.
