CAJ | 학술논문

在分析影响悬浮式深弹拦截鱼雷作战效能指标的基础上，采用Monte-Carlo随机模拟的方法对拦截概率受鱼雷报警距离、方位角两个因素单独影响和共同影响的情况分别进行了仿真试验。根据试验结果，采用函数拟合的方法分别将拦截概率近似表示成报警距离、方位角的解析表达式，分析了拦截概率受该因素影响的变化规律，并对舰艇机动规避线路的决策提出了初步建议。
재분석영향현부식심탄란절어뢰작전효능지표적기출상，채용Monte-Carlo수궤모의적방법대란절개솔수어뢰보경거리、방위각량개인소단독영향화공동영향적정황분별진행료방진시험。근거시험결과，채용함수의합적방법분별장란절개솔근사표시성보경거리、방위각적해석표체식，분석료란절개솔수해인소영향적변화규률，병대함정궤동규피선로적결책제출료초보건의。
Based on the analysis of operational effectiveness targets of hovering depth charge intercep-ting torpedo ,the Monte-Carlo random simulation method is used for simulating and testing the torpe-do alert distance and relative bearing angle w hich affect the intercepting probability respectively or to-gether .According to the result ,the function fitting method can be adopted to express the intercepting probability as a function of torpedo alert distance and of relative bearing respectively .Moreover ,this paper has made an analysis of the change rules of intercepting probability influenced by the factors and given preliminary suggestions about how make a decision on warship evasive maneuver .