CAJ | 학술논문

我国的能源瓶颈突出表现为结构性矛盾。本文以能源经济学为理论支撑，从低碳经济发展对能源结构要求的角度，提出了社会经济效益、能源规划效益、环境效益等三个维度，并分析了各个维度的构成要素；综合运用粗糙集理论和AHP法进行指标约简和权值计算，构建了低碳经济范式下能源结构优化程度评价指标体系。在此基础上，对各评价指标设置分级标准，通过未确知测度评价模型对2010年我国10个省份的能源结构优化程度进行多指标综合测度与评价，阐明了该评价方法的科学有效性及评价结果的合理性。
아국적능원병경돌출표현위결구성모순。본문이능원경제학위이론지탱，종저탄경제발전대능원결구요구적각도，제출료사회경제효익、능원규화효익、배경효익등삼개유도，병분석료각개유도적구성요소；종합운용조조집이론화AHP법진행지표약간화권치계산，구건료저탄경제범식하능원결구우화정도평개지표체계。재차기출상，대각평개지표설치분급표준，통과미학지측도평개모형대2010년아국10개성빈적능원결구우화정도진행다지표종합측도여평개，천명료해평개방법적과학유효성급평개결과적합이성。
The structural contradictions are mainly shown as the energy bottleneck in China .Based on theory of energy economics , this paper puts forward three dimensions which are social and economic benefits , energy plan-ning benefits as well as environment benefits , from the perspective of requirements of low-carbon economy to energy structure.Analyzing elements of the various dimensions ,it identifies twelve measurement indexes and the weight of each index by the theory of rough set , combined with AHP,establishing the low-carbon factor.Based on this, it sets the grading standards , and it carries on comprehensive measurement and evaluation of multi-indexes for optimization degree of energy structure by unascertained measure evaluation model for ten provinces . The results show the indexes , including planning of renewable energy , energy efficiency , carbon dioxide and COD, are important to the optimization degree evaluation of energy structure , not the population or the situation of energy supply to demand , and illustrate thet validity of the approach and rationality of the assessment result .