CAJ | 학술논문

汉建安二十四年（219年）关羽进攻襄樊并非破坏诸葛亮分兵北伐战略的擅自行动，而是为完成隆中“跨有荆、益”战略而发动的最后之役。诸葛亮于隆中为刘备设定的有生之年入主中原的时间表，以及刘氏集团以曹氏集团为恒敌的北定中原匡复汉室这一政治目标，均不利于蜀汉在三国博弈中的战盟策略变换，加之蜀国在时空上的诸多不利，导致了蜀汉始于失荆州的一系列失败。刘备和诸葛亮不救关羽是因为存在两难问题：其一，与吴开战既无胜算把握，亦有违联吴抗曹的生存策略；其二，不好处置关羽。
한건안이십사년（219년）관우진공양번병비파배제갈량분병북벌전략적천자행동，이시위완성륭중“과유형、익”전략이발동적최후지역。제갈량우륭중위류비설정적유생지년입주중원적시간표，이급류씨집단이조씨집단위항활적북정중원광복한실저일정치목표，균불리우촉한재삼국박혁중적전맹책략변환，가지촉국재시공상적제다불리，도치료촉한시우실형주적일계렬실패。류비화제갈량불구관우시인위존재량난문제：기일，여오개전기무성산파악，역유위련오항조적생존책략；기이，불호처치관우。
Han Jian 24 years (219 years) Zhuge Liang Guan offensive Xiangfan not divide our forces de-stroyed the Northern Expedition strategy without action , but for the complete Long in "Cross with Jing , Yi"strategy and launched the final Battle .Liu Bei, Zhuge Liang set in Long lifetime for a timetable for the Central Plains, and the Lau Group to the Group for the constant enemy Cao scheduled for the North Central Plains Han Dynasty Kuangfu this political goal , not conducive to Shu in the Three Kingdoms game Zhanmeng transforma-tion strategy , coupled with the many Shu disadvantage in time and space , resulting in a loss of Jingzhou Shu began a series of failures .Liu Bei, Guan Yu and Zhuge Liang does not save because there is a dilemma:First, grasp the odds and Wu neither war , anti-Cao Wu also violates the Union strategy for survival;Second, the bad disposition Guan Yu .