CAJ | 학술논문

基于VAR 模型，定量研究我国国内投资、政府消费及居民消费对中国经济增长的影响及出口对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明：短期和中期内国内投资冲击对经济增长具有比较明显的影响；短期内政府消费冲击对经济增长具有明显的驱动作用；从长远看，居民消费是影响我国经济增长的首要因素，其次是国内投资。
기우VAR 모형，정량연구아국국내투자、정부소비급거민소비대중국경제증장적영향급출구대경제증장적영향。연구결과표명：단기화중기내국내투자충격대경제증장구유비교명현적영향；단기내정부소비충격대경제증장구유명현적구동작용；종장원간，거민소비시영향아국경제증장적수요인소，기차시국내투자。
Based on VAR model, this paper is focus on the impact of domestic investment, government consumption, household consumption and export on Chinese economic growth by the method of quantitative research. The result shows that domestic investment has appreciable impact on economic growth with both a short and long term perspective. Meanwhile, government consumption has appreciable impact on economic growth in short term and household consumption has the same effect in long term.