矿业安全与环保
礦業安全與環保
광업안전여배보
MINING SAFETY & ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
2014年
1期
36-39
,共4页
事件响应模型%煤矿区%开采沉陷%预测预报
事件響應模型%煤礦區%開採沉陷%預測預報
사건향응모형%매광구%개채침함%예측예보
incident response model%coal mining area%mining subsidence%prediction
煤矿开采沉陷监测预报对矿山安全生产具有十分重要的意义。运用灰色理论中GM(1,1)模型,在进一步提高预测精度的基础上提出事件响应模型,并进行煤矿开采沉陷区地表下沉值的预测分析,通过与GM(1,1)模型预测值比较,表明事件响应模型具有较好的沉陷预测效果。经煤矿开采区试验表明,在预测煤矿开采沉陷中,采用事件响应模型预测精度更高。
煤礦開採沉陷鑑測預報對礦山安全生產具有十分重要的意義。運用灰色理論中GM(1,1)模型,在進一步提高預測精度的基礎上提齣事件響應模型,併進行煤礦開採沉陷區地錶下沉值的預測分析,通過與GM(1,1)模型預測值比較,錶明事件響應模型具有較好的沉陷預測效果。經煤礦開採區試驗錶明,在預測煤礦開採沉陷中,採用事件響應模型預測精度更高。
매광개채침함감측예보대광산안전생산구유십분중요적의의。운용회색이론중GM(1,1)모형,재진일보제고예측정도적기출상제출사건향응모형,병진행매광개채침함구지표하침치적예측분석,통과여GM(1,1)모형예측치비교,표명사건향응모형구유교호적침함예측효과。경매광개채구시험표명,재예측매광개채침함중,채용사건향응모형예측정도경고。
The monitoring and prediction of mining subsidence in a coal mine is of great significance for safe production of the mine. This paper put forward the incident response model by using GM ( 1. 1 ) model in grey system theory and further improving the prediction precision, and carried out the prediction analysis of the surface subsidence values in mining subsidence area of the mine. Through the comparison with the prediction values by GM(1. 1) model, it indicated that the incident response model has better subsidence prediction effect. The test in the mining district of the mine proved that the incident response model has much higher prediction precision for the mining subsidence.
