CAJ | 학술논문

为研究快速公交系统运行特征与其制约因素之间的内在关系和潜在规律，选取包含有多段不同专用道形式的济南市BRT-3运行线路为研究对象。综合选取了可全面描述BRT 运行特性的车辆平均行驶速度、平均行程速度、平均运营速度以及停靠站平均延误和交叉口平均延误5个基本参数，以及8个凸显运行特征的组合式参数作为评价指标；基于数理统计方法和多元分析理论，综合运用多元统计学中的因子分析法，分析影响快速公交运行特性的关键因素，挖掘不同运行特征与影响因素（或因子）间潜在的关系，探索改善快速公交运行特性的方法与途径。综合分析表明：影响快速公交系统运行的关键影响因素是交叉口影响因子、站台停靠影响因子和车路综合影响因子，针对定量分析的结果提出了改进与完善的意见和建议。
위연구쾌속공교계통운행특정여기제약인소지간적내재관계화잠재규률，선취포함유다단불동전용도형식적제남시BRT-3운행선로위연구대상。종합선취료가전면묘술BRT 운행특성적차량평균행사속도、평균행정속도、평균운영속도이급정고참평균연오화교차구평균연오5개기본삼수，이급8개철현운행특정적조합식삼수작위평개지표；기우수리통계방법화다원분석이론，종합운용다원통계학중적인자분석법，분석영향쾌속공교운행특성적관건인소，알굴불동운행특정여영향인소（혹인자）간잠재적관계，탐색개선쾌속공교운행특성적방법여도경。종합분석표명：영향쾌속공교계통운행적관건영향인소시교차구영향인자、참태정고영향인자화차로종합영향인자，침대정량분석적결과제출료개진여완선적의견화건의。
Jinan BRT-3 lines which contain different forms of lanes are selected so as to study the operating charac-teristics and the inner relation between constraints and potential factors of bus rapid transit system .The comprehensive approach in this paper can fully describe the working characteristic of the BRT vehicle ,including average speed ,average running speed ,average delay and average operating speed ,as well as 5 basic parameters in intersection delay and 8 high-light operation characteristics as the evaluation index .The operation data in real-time are collected between different sec-tions and stations ,and the key factors affecting BRT are analyzed by using mathematical statistics method and factor anal-ysis of multivariate statistics .The research aims to demonstrate the relationship between operating characteristics and the impact factors ,and to explore methods to improve BRT characteristics .Comprehensive analyses show that the key factors affecting BRT are the intersection impact factor ,the platform dock impact factor ,and the car road comprehensive impact factor .The quantitative analysis has also led to many constructive suggestions .