武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版)
武漢理工大學學報(交通科學與工程版)
무한리공대학학보(교통과학여공정판)
JOURNAL OF WUHAN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & ENGINEERING)
2014年
1期
172-175
,共4页
邵芳芳%关宏志%韩艳%薛萌
邵芳芳%關宏誌%韓豔%薛萌
소방방%관굉지%한염%설맹
私家车通勤出行%班车通勤出行%SP调查%RP调查%OL模型
私傢車通勤齣行%班車通勤齣行%SP調查%RP調查%OL模型
사가차통근출행%반차통근출행%SP조사%RP조사%OL모형
commuting by car%commuting by shuttle bus%stated preference survey%revealed preference survey%Ordinal Logit model
通过对私家车通勤出行者RP和SP调查,分析了性别、年龄、驾龄、燃油价格等因素对班车通勤次数选择行为的影响,建立了基于Ordinal Logit(OL)模型的私家车转向班车通勤出行的频率选择模型。模型系数表明,驾龄小于3a的私家车出行者,在燃油价格上涨时,更倾向于班车通勤出行;驾龄大于3a的私家车通勤出行者,随着驾龄的增加,受燃油价格的影响越小,转向班车出行的频率越低。
通過對私傢車通勤齣行者RP和SP調查,分析瞭性彆、年齡、駕齡、燃油價格等因素對班車通勤次數選擇行為的影響,建立瞭基于Ordinal Logit(OL)模型的私傢車轉嚮班車通勤齣行的頻率選擇模型。模型繫數錶明,駕齡小于3a的私傢車齣行者,在燃油價格上漲時,更傾嚮于班車通勤齣行;駕齡大于3a的私傢車通勤齣行者,隨著駕齡的增加,受燃油價格的影響越小,轉嚮班車齣行的頻率越低。
통과대사가차통근출행자RP화SP조사,분석료성별、년령、가령、연유개격등인소대반차통근차수선택행위적영향,건립료기우Ordinal Logit(OL)모형적사가차전향반차통근출행적빈솔선택모형。모형계수표명,가령소우3a적사가차출행자,재연유개격상창시,경경향우반차통근출행;가령대우3a적사가차통근출행자,수착가령적증가,수연유개격적영향월소,전향반차출행적빈솔월저。
Based on the RP and SP surveys for car commuters ,factors w hich influence the commuting times by shuttle bus such as sex ,age ,driving experience and fuel price were analyzed .The Ordinal Logit(OL)model was established to analyze the choice behavior of commuting by shuttle bus instead of car .The model coefficients showed that ,with the increase of fuel price ,the shuttle bus was used more frequently by car commuters whose driving experience is less than three years .However ,car commuters whose driving experience is more than three years were less influenced by the fuel price , that is to say ,with the increase of fuel price ,car commuters with more than three driving experience were less possible to become shuttle bus commuters .