未来与发展
未來與髮展
미래여발전
FUTURE AND DEVELOPMENT
2014年
2期
102-106,41
,共6页
赵娜%王聪俐%王业全
趙娜%王聰俐%王業全
조나%왕총리%왕업전
住宅价格%形成机制%因子分析%偏最小二乘回归
住宅價格%形成機製%因子分析%偏最小二乘迴歸
주택개격%형성궤제%인자분석%편최소이승회귀
commercial housing price%formation mechanism%factor analysis%partial least squares regression%Tianjin
本文通过对天津商品住宅价格的现状分析,结合供给需求模型对住宅价格的形成机制进行系统研究,并运用因子分析和偏最小二乘方法探究不同因子如何对住宅价格形成影响及其影响程度。研究结果表明,需求旺盛、供给不足导致了天津商品住宅价格的持续上升,而宏观经济环境对住宅价格影响有限,并据此为住宅价格的调控提出相关的政策建议。
本文通過對天津商品住宅價格的現狀分析,結閤供給需求模型對住宅價格的形成機製進行繫統研究,併運用因子分析和偏最小二乘方法探究不同因子如何對住宅價格形成影響及其影響程度。研究結果錶明,需求旺盛、供給不足導緻瞭天津商品住宅價格的持續上升,而宏觀經濟環境對住宅價格影響有限,併據此為住宅價格的調控提齣相關的政策建議。
본문통과대천진상품주택개격적현상분석,결합공급수구모형대주택개격적형성궤제진행계통연구,병운용인자분석화편최소이승방법탐구불동인자여하대주택개격형성영향급기영향정도。연구결과표명,수구왕성、공급불족도치료천진상품주택개격적지속상승,이굉관경제배경대주택개격영향유한,병거차위주택개격적조공제출상관적정책건의。
The paper explores the formation mechanism of commercial housing price in Tianjin on the basis of the current situation and supply-demand model. Moreover, it studies the influence degree of the various factors on commercial housing price and its action mechanism by factor and partial least-squares regression analysis. The results show it could account for its price is remaining higher that the strong demand and insufficient supply of commercial housing in Tianjin, while the macro-economic environment has not the significant impact. Finally, the paper provides the suggestions and policies for the sustained development of commercial housing market in Tianjin.