CAJ | 학술논문

本文从工业结构演变的视角来研究我国经济增长对环境质量的影响及变化,通过利用工业结构特征偏向指数和各省29个制造业行业的相关数据，对1995-2010年我国工业结构演变与环境变化二者之间的关系进行了定量分析，探讨了各省工业结构的污染排放强度特征的差异及其变化趋势，在此基础上对各区域工业内部各行业的发展状况进行了分析。研究结果表明，1995-2010年我国西北地区工业结构废水排放强度降低的趋势减弱，东南部分地区和西南地区工业结构的二氧化硫排放强度和固体废弃物排放强度有所增强，高污染行业增长趋势较为明显地区是黄河中游、西北与西南等地区。最后本文构建地区环境污染强度影响因素的回归分析模型，结果表明工业内部结构的演变是影响区域环境质量的重要因素，尤其对于经济发展相对落后的中西部地区而言，在今后产业结构升级过程中要及时监控和预防产业结构演变产生的环境污染。
본문종공업결구연변적시각래연구아국경제증장대배경질량적영향급변화,통과이용공업결구특정편향지수화각성29개제조업행업적상관수거，대1995-2010년아국공업결구연변여배경변화이자지간적관계진행료정량분석，탐토료각성공업결구적오염배방강도특정적차이급기변화추세，재차기출상대각구역공업내부각행업적발전상황진행료분석。연구결과표명，1995-2010년아국서북지구공업결구폐수배방강도강저적추세감약，동남부분지구화서남지구공업결구적이양화류배방강도화고체폐기물배방강도유소증강，고오염행업증장추세교위명현지구시황하중유、서북여서남등지구。최후본문구건지구배경오염강도영향인소적회귀분석모형，결과표명공업내부결구적연변시영향구역배경질량적중요인소，우기대우경제발전상대락후적중서부지구이언，재금후산업결구승급과정중요급시감공화예방산업결구연변산생적배경오염。
We conducted a quantitative analysis of the relationship between the evolution of China’s industrial structure and environmental change. Using the industrial structure characteristic bias index and data from 29 manufacturing industries in each province from 1995 to 2010, we described the impact of pollution-emission characteristics of industry structure on the regional environment. The results show that wastewater-discharged characteristic of industrial structure in the northwest and central areas declined from 1995-2010, but this trend has weakened. The industrial structure of southwest and southeast areas had a high level of solid waste discharge and a constantly strengthening trend in SO2 emissions. We also analyzed the growth and recession of each sector in eight regions in China from 1995 to 2010. Among the eight regions, the middle reach of the Yel ow River, and northwest and southwest China had a clear increasing trend of high pol ution industries;the eastern coast, southern coast, middle reach of the Yangtze River and northeastern China did not sustain an increase in high pollution industries. In addition, regression analysis modeling was used to analyze the impact of the evolution of industrial structure on the disparities of regional environmental effects. We found that regional industry structure was closely related to environmental quality, especially for western areas at lower stages of economic development. In the future, all regions must prevent and forefend the risk of environmental pollution in the update and adjustment of industrial structure.