CAJ | 학술논문

对我国2002-2011年煤炭供需现状进行分析，采用DEMATEL方法对影响我国煤炭行业发展的因素进行研究，通过对相关专家进行的问卷调查，确定各因素之间的直接影响关系，并根据计算出的综合影响矩阵进一步推断出国家产业政策、经济发展水平和煤炭资源条件是影响我国煤炭行业发展的关键因素；根据影响因素分析的结论为相关部门提供一些意见和政策建议。
대아국2002-2011년매탄공수현상진행분석，채용DEMATEL방법대영향아국매탄행업발전적인소진행연구，통과대상관전가진행적문권조사，학정각인소지간적직접영향관계，병근거계산출적종합영향구진진일보추단출국가산업정책、경제발전수평화매탄자원조건시영향아국매탄행업발전적관건인소；근거영향인소분석적결론위상관부문제공일사의견화정책건의。
In this paper,supply and demand status of coal in China from 2002 to 2011 is firstly analyzed,and then DEMATEL method is applied to analyze factors that influenced the de-velopment of current coal industry in China and questionnaires are distributed to related experts to determine direct relation among these factors. After calculating the relationship among the fac-tors,it is found that national industrial policy,level of economic development and coal resource conditions are the key factors that influence the development of current coal industry in China. Finally,some comments and suggestions are provided to the relevant departments based on the conclusions derived from the analysis of these influencing factors.