南京信息工程大学学报
南京信息工程大學學報
남경신식공정대학학보
JOURNAL OF NANJING UNIVERSITY OF INFORMATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
2014年
2期
135-143
,共9页
唐凯%王让会%凌良新%刘祖健
唐凱%王讓會%凌良新%劉祖健
당개%왕양회%릉량신%류조건
蒸发%气候变化%Mann-Kendall法%小波分析%潮州市
蒸髮%氣候變化%Mann-Kendall法%小波分析%潮州市
증발%기후변화%Mann-Kendall법%소파분석%조주시
evaporation%climate change%Mann-Kendall test%wavelet analysis%Chaozhou
利用潮州市气象观测站1969-2011年蒸发量、平均气温、降水、总云量、平均风速、水汽压和相对湿度等资料,采用距平百分率、累积距平、Mann-Kendall、小波分析等方法,分析潮州市蒸发变化特征及其影响因素。结果表明:潮州市蒸发量在20世纪70年代和80年代最多,90年代最少,四季蒸发量的波动比较明显;突变检验表明,20世纪70年代日照时数出现突发性上升,但是没有出现明显突变点;通过对全年和季节蒸发量的周期分析,在比较显著的时间尺度上蒸发量目前处于偏多的时期;年蒸发量减少与平均气温增加关系密切,同时也和夏季日照时数的增加有一定关系。
利用潮州市氣象觀測站1969-2011年蒸髮量、平均氣溫、降水、總雲量、平均風速、水汽壓和相對濕度等資料,採用距平百分率、纍積距平、Mann-Kendall、小波分析等方法,分析潮州市蒸髮變化特徵及其影響因素。結果錶明:潮州市蒸髮量在20世紀70年代和80年代最多,90年代最少,四季蒸髮量的波動比較明顯;突變檢驗錶明,20世紀70年代日照時數齣現突髮性上升,但是沒有齣現明顯突變點;通過對全年和季節蒸髮量的週期分析,在比較顯著的時間呎度上蒸髮量目前處于偏多的時期;年蒸髮量減少與平均氣溫增加關繫密切,同時也和夏季日照時數的增加有一定關繫。
이용조주시기상관측참1969-2011년증발량、평균기온、강수、총운량、평균풍속、수기압화상대습도등자료,채용거평백분솔、루적거평、Mann-Kendall、소파분석등방법,분석조주시증발변화특정급기영향인소。결과표명:조주시증발량재20세기70년대화80년대최다,90년대최소,사계증발량적파동비교명현;돌변검험표명,20세기70년대일조시수출현돌발성상승,단시몰유출현명현돌변점;통과대전년화계절증발량적주기분석,재비교현저적시간척도상증발량목전처우편다적시기;년증발량감소여평균기온증가관계밀절,동시야화하계일조시수적증가유일정관계。
Based on Chaozhou meteorological data including sunshine hours,total cloud amount,precipitation,sur-face vapor pressure,mean temperature,mean wind velocity and relative humidity from meteorological stations during 1969-2011,the characteristics and influencing factors of evaporation change in Chaozhou were studied with the methods of evaporation anomaly percentage, accumulative anomalies, Mann-kendall test, and wavelet analysis. The result indicates that the evaporation of 1970s and 1980s in Chaozhou were the most for the period of 1969-2011, while the evaporation of 1990s was the least. Seasonal fluctuation was obvious in evaporation change. Mutation test shows that the sunshine hours increased rapidly in 1970s,yet without obvious mutation.According to the period anal-ysis of annual and seasonal evaporation changes,the evaporation now is relatively high in the more significant time scale.The decrease of annual evaporation is closely related with the increase of mean temperature,and may also be related with the increase of sunshine hours in summer.