铁道学报
鐵道學報
철도학보
2014年
3期
59-66
,共8页
可信度%模糊层次分析法%列车运行控制系统%仿真%评价
可信度%模糊層次分析法%列車運行控製繫統%倣真%評價
가신도%모호층차분석법%열차운행공제계통%방진%평개
credibility%FAHP%train operation control system%simulation%evaluation
为科学的评价列车运行控制系统仿真的可信度，改进模糊层次分析法FAHP (Fuzzy AHP)，使其更适合评价列车运行控制系统仿真。首先提出根据列车运行控制系统仿真目的不同而进行不同仿真层次的划分，分析确定影响仿真目的可信度的具体指标因素；然后请相关领域内不同研究方向的专家采用三角模糊方法对影响指标因素进行评判，取其平均值构造三角模糊一致判断矩阵；接着使用 FAHP计算各因素的模糊权重值，并进行去模糊化处理，获取各层次模块最终的权重值；再根据各层次模块的权重值及可信度按层加权计算获取列车运行控制系统仿真的可信度。根据不同仿真目的划分层次结构，确定影响指标因素，具有更强的针对性，以领域内多个不同研究方向专家的评判平均值构造三角模糊矩阵，可以更好的降低个人喜好和知识层面不同带来的偏差，加之FAHP方法考虑了人们对复杂事物判断的模糊性，能够更好地克服人为主观判断、偏好给决策带来的影响，因而更具有合理性。
為科學的評價列車運行控製繫統倣真的可信度，改進模糊層次分析法FAHP (Fuzzy AHP)，使其更適閤評價列車運行控製繫統倣真。首先提齣根據列車運行控製繫統倣真目的不同而進行不同倣真層次的劃分，分析確定影響倣真目的可信度的具體指標因素；然後請相關領域內不同研究方嚮的專傢採用三角模糊方法對影響指標因素進行評判，取其平均值構造三角模糊一緻判斷矩陣；接著使用 FAHP計算各因素的模糊權重值，併進行去模糊化處理，穫取各層次模塊最終的權重值；再根據各層次模塊的權重值及可信度按層加權計算穫取列車運行控製繫統倣真的可信度。根據不同倣真目的劃分層次結構，確定影響指標因素，具有更彊的針對性，以領域內多箇不同研究方嚮專傢的評判平均值構造三角模糊矩陣，可以更好的降低箇人喜好和知識層麵不同帶來的偏差，加之FAHP方法攷慮瞭人們對複雜事物判斷的模糊性，能夠更好地剋服人為主觀判斷、偏好給決策帶來的影響，因而更具有閤理性。
위과학적평개열차운행공제계통방진적가신도，개진모호층차분석법FAHP (Fuzzy AHP)，사기경괄합평개열차운행공제계통방진。수선제출근거열차운행공제계통방진목적불동이진행불동방진층차적화분，분석학정영향방진목적가신도적구체지표인소；연후청상관영역내불동연구방향적전가채용삼각모호방법대영향지표인소진행평판，취기평균치구조삼각모호일치판단구진；접착사용 FAHP계산각인소적모호권중치，병진행거모호화처리，획취각층차모괴최종적권중치；재근거각층차모괴적권중치급가신도안층가권계산획취열차운행공제계통방진적가신도。근거불동방진목적화분층차결구，학정영향지표인소，구유경강적침대성，이영역내다개불동연구방향전가적평판평균치구조삼각모호구진，가이경호적강저개인희호화지식층면불동대래적편차，가지FAHP방법고필료인문대복잡사물판단적모호성，능구경호지극복인위주관판단、편호급결책대래적영향，인이경구유합이성。
While the credibility of the simulation system is guaranteed,the correctness of using the simulation system for different purposes can be ensured.In order to evaluate the simulation credibility of the train opera-tion control system,the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP)was appropriately improved to meet the eval-uation requirements in the file of the train operation control system.Firstly,according to the different simula-tion purposes,simulation of the train operation control system was divided to different levels.Secondly,the factors influencing system credibility were j udged to get the triangular fuzzy values by experts in different re-search directions in the field of train operation control systems,furthermore their average values were calculat-ed to structure the triangular fuzzy consistent j udgment matrix.Thirdly,fuzzy weights of the influencing fac-tors were calculated with FAHP,and then they were dealt with from fuzzy to precise.There is stronger perti-nence in the way that according to different simulation purposes the system hierarchy is divided and the influen-cing factors are determined.The bias resulted from personal preferences and knowledge levels can be reduced by the average triangular fuzzy matrix made by experts in different research areas.Since FAHP has considered the fuzzy characteristic existing in people’s j udgment of complex things,the method can better overcome sub-j ective effects and so is more reasonable.
