CAJ | 학술논문

基于堤防工程安全影响因素多、关系复杂的特点，在对堤防安全综合评价指标体系构建的基础上，应用层次分析法、遗传算法以及集值统计法，构建了堤防安全综合评价模型并探讨了其求解算法。将遗传算法与层次分析法结合起来，研究了判断矩阵一致性检验和堤防安全主要影响因素筛选与权重确定问题；根据专家经验及其对定性指标的评分，运用集值统计法获得其评价值，评价值加权组合所得结果即为堤防的安全评价结果。将该模型应用于某湖泊堤防，得出该堤防的安全评价值为68．69，即该堤防属于轻度危险，从而提出在堤防日常管理中要加强巡查，并在汛前对重点堤段进行维护，发现问题及时解决。
기우제방공정안전영향인소다、관계복잡적특점，재대제방안전종합평개지표체계구건적기출상，응용층차분석법、유전산법이급집치통계법，구건료제방안전종합평개모형병탐토료기구해산법。장유전산법여층차분석법결합기래，연구료판단구진일치성검험화제방안전주요영향인소사선여권중학정문제；근거전가경험급기대정성지표적평분，운용집치통계법획득기평개치，평개치가권조합소득결과즉위제방적안전평개결과。장해모형응용우모호박제방，득출해제방적안전평개치위68．69，즉해제방속우경도위험，종이제출재제방일상관리중요가강순사，병재신전대중점제단진행유호，발현문제급시해결。
According to the characteristics of levee safety of lots of influence factors and complex relationship,comprehensive application of analyti-cal hierarchy process,genetic algorithm,centralization statistical method and so on,the construction theory and implementation algorithm of levee safety assessment model were discussed,based on the construction of evaluation index system. Consistency test of judgment matrixes,screening main influence factors in levee safety and determination their weights are studied. According to the scores of qualitative indices from experienced ex-perts,the evaluation value could be obtained by centralization statistical method,and then the evaluation result of levee safety was gotten based on weighted combination. The model was applied to a lake levee,and the safety evaluation value was 68. 69,belonging to slight danger. Consequent-ly,it is proposed that strengthening inspections is necessary in daily management of levees,some key parts need maintenance before flood season, and problems finding in flood season should be solved without delay.