人民黄河
人民黃河
인민황하
Yellow River
2014年
3期
13-16
,共4页
模糊综合评价%模糊层次分析法%经济社会易损性%洪涝灾害%河南省
模糊綜閤評價%模糊層次分析法%經濟社會易損性%洪澇災害%河南省
모호종합평개%모호층차분석법%경제사회역손성%홍로재해%하남성
fuzzy comprehensive evaluation%fuzzy analytic hierarchy process%economic and social vulnerability%floods%Henan Province
在分析洪涝灾害对经济社会深刻影响的基础上，构建了经济社会易损性评估指标体系，运用模糊综合评价模型并结合模糊层次分析法，对河南省洪涝灾害进行了经济社会易损性评价。结果表明：①河南省洪涝灾害经济社会易损性水平最高的是郑州市和周口市，但是两者高易损性的决定因素各不相同；②GDP密度是决定经济易损性的最重要因素，而老幼人口比例是决定人口易损性的最重要因素；③不同区域在防治洪涝灾害时，应针对其易损性决定因素的不同而采取不同措施。
在分析洪澇災害對經濟社會深刻影響的基礎上，構建瞭經濟社會易損性評估指標體繫，運用模糊綜閤評價模型併結閤模糊層次分析法，對河南省洪澇災害進行瞭經濟社會易損性評價。結果錶明：①河南省洪澇災害經濟社會易損性水平最高的是鄭州市和週口市，但是兩者高易損性的決定因素各不相同；②GDP密度是決定經濟易損性的最重要因素，而老幼人口比例是決定人口易損性的最重要因素；③不同區域在防治洪澇災害時，應針對其易損性決定因素的不同而採取不同措施。
재분석홍로재해대경제사회심각영향적기출상，구건료경제사회역손성평고지표체계，운용모호종합평개모형병결합모호층차분석법，대하남성홍로재해진행료경제사회역손성평개。결과표명：①하남성홍로재해경제사회역손성수평최고적시정주시화주구시，단시량자고역손성적결정인소각불상동；②GDP밀도시결정경제역손성적최중요인소，이로유인구비례시결정인구역손성적최중요인소；③불동구역재방치홍로재해시，응침대기역손성결정인소적불동이채취불동조시。
This article analyzed the impact of floods to economy and society,then built the evaluation index system of economic and social vulnera-bility. An approach combining with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process was used to evaluate economic and social vulnerability of floods in Henan Province. The results show that:a)the areas with the highest level of economic and social vulnerability of floods in Henan Province are Zhengzhou City and Zhoukou City,and they have different reasons;b)the most important factors which affect the level of the economic vulnerability of floods is GDP density,while the proportion of young and old people is the most important factor that determines the population vulnerability;c)different regions should take different measures based on their own characteristics when fight with floods.
