环境监控与预警
環境鑑控與預警
배경감공여예경
ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND FOREWARNING
2014年
2期
5-9,14
,共6页
江苏省%环境安全%评估体系
江囌省%環境安全%評估體繫
강소성%배경안전%평고체계
Jiangsu province%Environmental security%Assessment system
从江苏省环境安全形势出发,借鉴“压力-状态-响应”(PSR)模型的框架思路,构建了环境安全度量的层次指标体系。从环境安全的压力、状态、响应3个方面确定相应的指数及对应的评估指标,通过基于德尔斐法的层次分析法确定权重,计算环境安全综合指数,并建立环境安全等级划分标准。应用建立的环境安全评估体系,对2006-2012年江苏省环境安全进行了评估。结果表明:2006-2012年,全省环境安全综合指数呈明显下降趋势,安全等级由中警状态好转为预警状态,江苏省环境安全形势不断改善。但2012年以来,大气灰霾、酸雨等复合型污染有所加重,环境安全接近中警状态,全省环境安全形势亟需进一步采取措施进行有效保障。
從江囌省環境安全形勢齣髮,藉鑒“壓力-狀態-響應”(PSR)模型的框架思路,構建瞭環境安全度量的層次指標體繫。從環境安全的壓力、狀態、響應3箇方麵確定相應的指數及對應的評估指標,通過基于德爾斐法的層次分析法確定權重,計算環境安全綜閤指數,併建立環境安全等級劃分標準。應用建立的環境安全評估體繫,對2006-2012年江囌省環境安全進行瞭評估。結果錶明:2006-2012年,全省環境安全綜閤指數呈明顯下降趨勢,安全等級由中警狀態好轉為預警狀態,江囌省環境安全形勢不斷改善。但2012年以來,大氣灰霾、痠雨等複閤型汙染有所加重,環境安全接近中警狀態,全省環境安全形勢亟需進一步採取措施進行有效保障。
종강소성배경안전형세출발,차감“압력-상태-향응”(PSR)모형적광가사로,구건료배경안전도량적층차지표체계。종배경안전적압력、상태、향응3개방면학정상응적지수급대응적평고지표,통과기우덕이비법적층차분석법학정권중,계산배경안전종합지수,병건립배경안전등급화분표준。응용건립적배경안전평고체계,대2006-2012년강소성배경안전진행료평고。결과표명:2006-2012년,전성배경안전종합지수정명현하강추세,안전등급유중경상태호전위예경상태,강소성배경안전형세불단개선。단2012년이래,대기회매、산우등복합형오염유소가중,배경안전접근중경상태,전성배경안전형세극수진일보채취조시진행유효보장。
The index system of hierarchy for environmental safety measurement was put forward based on the security situation ofen-vironment in Jiangsu province and the pressure-state-response (PSR)model.The indexes and indicators were confirmed from pres-sure,state and response of environmental security and the corresponding assessment indexes were established.Each indicator's weight value was calculated using analytic hierarchy process(AHP).After this,the index of environmental security was calculated and the environmental safety grade division standard was established.Using the established assessment system,the authorsassessed the environmental security in Jiangsu province during 2006-201 2.The results showed that the general evaluated values of environ-mental security appeared a downward trend,and the security level was better.This suggested that the environmental security in Jian-gsu province have been improved continuously during 2006-201 2.But since 201 2,the atmospheric haze,acid rain and other com-plex pollutions were aggravated.Further measures should be taken to guarantee the environmental security situation effectively.