湖南工业大学学报
湖南工業大學學報
호남공업대학학보
JOURNAL OF HUNAN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
2014年
1期
1-7
,共7页
风险投资项目%风险评估%云模型%Theil指数
風險投資項目%風險評估%雲模型%Theil指數
풍험투자항목%풍험평고%운모형%Theil지수
investment project%risk assessment%cloud model%Theil index
从企业家及团队风险、产品风险、技术风险、市场风险、退出风险、政策及产业风险和区域影响力7个方面构建了投资项目风险评估指标体系，进而基于云模型和Theil指数提出了一种风险评估方法。该方法先将指标值转化为云模型，然后利用云的特征数和Theil指数计算指标权重，再以此权重为基础进行云模型集结，从而对各方案进行综合评估和择优。最后，通过实例应用检验了该方法的可行性和有效性。
從企業傢及糰隊風險、產品風險、技術風險、市場風險、退齣風險、政策及產業風險和區域影響力7箇方麵構建瞭投資項目風險評估指標體繫，進而基于雲模型和Theil指數提齣瞭一種風險評估方法。該方法先將指標值轉化為雲模型，然後利用雲的特徵數和Theil指數計算指標權重，再以此權重為基礎進行雲模型集結，從而對各方案進行綜閤評估和擇優。最後，通過實例應用檢驗瞭該方法的可行性和有效性。
종기업가급단대풍험、산품풍험、기술풍험、시장풍험、퇴출풍험、정책급산업풍험화구역영향력7개방면구건료투자항목풍험평고지표체계，진이기우운모형화Theil지수제출료일충풍험평고방법。해방법선장지표치전화위운모형，연후이용운적특정수화Theil지수계산지표권중，재이차권중위기출진행운모형집결，종이대각방안진행종합평고화택우。최후，통과실례응용검험료해방법적가행성화유효성。
A risk evaluation index system is established for assessing investment projects from seven respects, such as the entrepreneur and team risk, product risk, technology risk, market risk, exit risk, policy and industry risks and regional influence, and a risk assessment approach based on the cloud model and Theil index is proposed. The evaluation indexes are transformed into cloud models, the weights of all indexes are calculated by using the cloud characteristics and Theil indexes, and on the basis of the weights, the cloud models are aggregated for deriving the comprehensive evaluation values of each alternative, and then the best alternative can be selected. Finally, the application of this method shows that it is feasible and effective.
